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January 13, 2022 - The RightLine Report

 

Notes From The Editor

Active traders interact with Wall Street on a regular basis and become accustomed to the ever-changing personality of the stock market. As challenging as online stock trading may be sometimes, we're fortunate to experience the "real" Street - that gritty pavement zone where the rubber meets the road.

This view is in contrast to the average investor who usually has a rather naive impression of how things work. Investors typically only have contact with the stock market once or twice a year. Though they may not know it, relying on casual or occasional oversight of one's stock holdings is not the best route to take.

In fact, as a rule the only person who really cares about your finances is you. There may be some rare exceptions, but in the stock market it usually isn't a good idea for investors to delegate fiscal responsibility to someone else.

Proactive stock market trading causes a person to develop skills and learn quickly. Successful stock traders know that education is essential. Though many investors are in the dark about the consequences of their limited trading abilities, many others have developed skills to take advantage of an ever-changing stock market. This trend toward intelligent trading appeals to investors who want to be more capable and successful.

Though you never know for sure which aspects of the market's personality will show up at any given time, as long as prices move up and down you can make a profit.

Trade well!

~ Thomas




Editorial    Quick List    Market Summary    Technical Analyst    Market Calendar   
Stocks Covered Today    Stock Splits     


Quick List


    
Stock     01/13     01/13      Buy      Short   Trailing Stops     Gain 
Symbol    Price      +/-      Entry     Entry   Initial/Tighten   Amount 
------  --------  --------  --------  --------  ---------------  --------

HUDI      20.40     -0.40     21.39     19.44        1.95/0.98      8.48
PINS      32.97     -1.46               31.89        3.23/1.62      3.86
BRBR      25.46      0.62     26.02     23.87        2.15/1.08      1.84
CIO       20.05      0.20      20.5                  1.28/0.64       0.9
LSPD      37.57     -1.80               36.35        4.32/2.16      4.72


The "Quick List" provides a brief summary of each stock write-up and should be taken in the context of the related write-up presented in the "Stocks Covered in This Issue" section of this Report.

Be sure to read "How To Use The RightLine Quick List" and always use the RightLine Risk Control Calculator before entering any position.

For more on controlling risk go to the RightLine Risk Control System

For a glossary of terms unique to The RightLine Report go to: Glossary

Questions? Send us an email using our Contact Form.



Editorial    Quick List    Market Summary    Technical Analyst    Market Calendar   
Stocks Covered Today    Stock Splits     


Market Summary

Stocks were lower on Thursday as traders reviewed mixed economic reports showing US producer prices are more moderate than expected compared to last month, yet remain seriously elevated compared to 2021. Also, unemployment claims increased unexpectedly, though continuing claims continue to downtrend. In equities, fourth quarter earnings season is now underway, with shares of KB Home (KBH $49) and Delta Air Lines (DAL $41) rallying following the release of their numbers. Gold, the USD/dollar and oil prices slipped lower, while treasuries advanced higher to put downward pressure on yields.


                        Jan 12, 2022           Jan 13, 2022   
                  --------------------   --------------------
Dow                 36,290.32    38.30     36,113.62  -176.70
Nasdaq              15,188.39    34.94     14,806.81  -381.58
S&P 500              4,726.35    13.28      4,659.03   -67.32

NYSE Volume                      4.07B                  4.23B
NYSE Advancers                   1,711                  1,585
NYSE Decliners                   1,624                  1,781

Nasdaq Volume                    4.34B                  4.26B
Nasdaq Advancers                 1,970                  1,442
Nasdaq Decliners                 2,697                  3,230

                                 New Highs/Lows

                   01/06  01/07  01/10  01/11  01/12  01/13
                 --------------------------------------------
NYSE New Highs        64    101     95     96    128    137
NYSE New Lows        185    105    205     57     64    103
Nasdaq New Highs      90    103     87     45     97    113
Nasdaq New Lows      612    338    740    172    169    431
   

Editorial    Quick List    Market Summary    Technical Analyst    Market Calendar   
Stocks Covered Today    Stock Splits     


TRADER'S TIP: "Earnings: Holding Through or Getting Back In"

It's no secret that we believe in avoiding undue risk. Because earnings reports often end up surprising traders, we often suggest closing out positions before the company announces earnings. However, if a stock is moving in a solid trend (long or short) and earnings estimates support that trend, experienced traders will often elect to drastically reduce the number of shares in their position and hold them through the earnings announcement.

In some cases traders jump back into the trade after the company reports better than expected earnings. This can be profitable at times, but don't chase the stock. If it has jumped more than 5% beyond your exit point, you're probably better off waiting for price to pull back to a moving average support level.



The Technical Analyst

SPX Daily Chart

For help with this chart, be sure to read "Understanding The Importance Of Support And Resistance"
and "Improve Your Trading With Moving Averages".


S&P 500 - 4659.03 January 13, 2022

52-Week High: 4818.62
52-Week Low: 3694.12
Daily Trend: UP
Weekly trend: UP
Weekly Pivot Levels
Resistance 3: 5031.22
Resistance 2: 4875.34
Resistance 1: 4776.18
Pivot: 4719.46
Support 1: 4620.30
Support 2: 4563.58
Support 3: 4407.70

NASDAQ Composite - 14806.81 January 13, 2022

52-Week High: 16212.23
52-Week Low: 12397.05
Daily Trend: UP
Weekly trend: DOWN
Weekly Pivot Levels
Resistance 3: 17170.91
Resistance 2: 16196.40
Resistance 1: 15566.15
Pivot: 15221.89
Support 1: 14591.64
Support 2: 14247.38
Support 3: 13272.87
        
Dow Industrials - 36113.62 January 13, 2022

52-Week High: 36952.65
52-Week Low: 29856.30
Daily Trend: DOWN
Weekly trend: UP
Weekly Pivot Levels
Resistance 3: 38114.18
Resistance 2: 37273.06
Resistance 1: 36752.36
Pivot: 36431.94
Support 1: 35911.24
Support 2: 35590.82
Support 3: 34749.70
 

Editorial    Quick List    Market Summary    Technical Analyst    Market Calendar   
Stocks Covered Today    Stock Splits     


Market Calendar

ECONOMIC REPORTS AND EVENTS (all times are Eastern):    

Monday, January 10, 2022:
10-Jan  10 am   Wholesale inventories (revision)

Tuesday, January 11, 2022:
11-Jan   6 am   NFIB small-business index

Wednesday, January 12, 2022:
12-Jan  8:30 am   Consumer price index
12-Jan  8:30 am   Core CPI
12-Jan   2 pm   Federal budget
12-Jan   2 pm   Beige book

Thursday, January 13, 2022:
13-Jan  8:30 am   Initial jobless claims (regular state program)
13-Jan  8:30 am   Continuing jobless claims (regular state program)
13-Jan  8:30 am   Producer price index

Friday, January 14, 2022:
14-Jan  8:30 am   Retail sales
14-Jan  8:30 am   Retail sales excluding autos
14-Jan  8:30 am   Import price index
14-Jan  9:15 am   Industrial production
14-Jan  9:15 am   Capacity utilization
14-Jan  10 am   UMich consumer sentiment index (preliminary)
14-Jan  10 am   Business inventories


For a chart of typical Up or Down market reactions to specific major US economic reports 
go to:  Economic Indicator Effects


Editorial    Quick List    Market Summary    Technical Analyst    Market Calendar   
Stocks Covered Today    Stock Splits     


TRADER'S TIP: "One Good Move Deserves Another"

In most cases the further and faster the market moves in one direction, the faster and more intense the reversal will be when the market has used up its energy.



Stocks Covered in This Issue

BASIC MATERIALS SECTOR

Huadi International Group Co., Ltd. (HUDI: Basic Materials/Steel) - SQUEEZE PLAY. HUDI is caught in a dilemma. The stock's compressed price range on Thursday has resulted in a condition comparable to a wound up rubber band. We anticipate that this undecided equity will take off soon, but with the direction still in question we'll let upcoming market action tell us whether to buy shares or sell short. HUDI is now at 20.40. We can capture price action either way by placing a BUY trigger at 21.39 and a SELL short trigger at 19.44. Once HUDI reveals its direction, enter your triggered order and disregard the other one. As soon as your position is in place, follow up with a trailing stop of 1.95. When you acquire a 8.48 profit, tighten the stop to 0.98. Earnings Report Date: N/A. Beta: N/A. Market-Cap: 267.75M. Not Optionable.

COMMUNICATION SERVICES SECTOR

Pinterest, Inc. (PINS: Communication Services/Internet Content & Information) - BEARISH U-TURN. PINS's reaction after running into moving average resistance on Thursday sets up this stock for a Bearish U-Turn trade. Having spent the past few days of moving higher, PINS is now likely to revert back to its dominant weekly downtrend. Get ready to SELL short shares if PINS drops to our entry at 31.89. Once in the trade, place a 3.23 trailing stop, which should be tightened to 1.62 after a 3.86 profit. PINS closed Thursday at 32.97. Earnings Report Date: Feb 02, 2022. Beta: 1.09. Market-Cap: 21.503B. Optionable.

CONSUMER DEFENSIVE SECTOR

BellRing Brands, Inc. (BRBR: Consumer Defensive/Packaged Foods) - SQUEEZE PLAY. When a stock's daily price range contracts to an unusually low point, you can safely assume that in most cases a breakout from that range will result in a nice price move. To capture a portion of this potential movement we have set both a long and a short entry into BRBR. A move to the upside will trigger our BUY entry at 26.02, while a drop to 23.87 will trigger our SELL short entry. Follow your position with a 2.15 trailing stop. Tighten the stop to 1.08 once you have a 1.84 gain. BRBR closed Thursday at 25.46. Earnings Report Date: Feb 02, 2022. Beta: 0.95. Market-Cap: 992.054M. Optionable.

REAL ESTATE SECTOR

City Office REIT, Inc. (CIO: Real Estate/REIT-Office) - BULLISH BOUNCE. This trader-friendly setup turns repetitive stock behavior into real profits. Based on the tendency for up-trending stocks to drop briefly and then resume the up-trend, the Bullish Bounce places traders into excellent stocks when conditions are primed for more skyward movement. CIO's current price action near moving average support signals a potential BUY entry at 20.5, followed by a 1.28 trailing stop which can be tightened to 0.64 upon earning 0.9. CIO closed Thursday at 20.05. Earnings Report Date: Feb 23, 2022. Beta: 1.57. Market-Cap: 873.266M. Optionable.

TECHNOLOGY SECTOR

Lightspeed Commerce Inc. (LSPD: Technology/Software-Application) - BEARISH U-TURN. During Thursday's trading action, LSPD encountered solid resistance near its 50 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) and looks ready for a possible reversal. The resulting Bearish U-Turn set-up is the basis for a potential SHORT play, so get ready to enter a position in LSPD on a further decline to our trigger at 36.35. Set a 4.32 trailing stop, tightening to 2.16 on a 4.72 gain. LSPD ended the latest session at 37.57. Earnings Report Date: Feb 03, 2022. Beta: 3.06. Market-Cap: 5.565B. Optionable.

IMPORTANT: Before entering any positions, always use the Risk Control System to determine the level of acceptable risk and the maximum number of shares to buy. Use Gap Adjusted Entries to reset the Entry Price for stocks that gap beyond recommended entry levels.



Editorial    Quick List    Market Summary    Technical Analyst    Market Calendar   
Stocks Covered Today    Stock Splits     


Stock Splits

Below are the stocks that have announced splits and have recently executed or will execute soon. There is generally a return to normal price behavior in the weeks following a split announcement in what we call a "Dormancy Phase." As the stock nears its split execution date (Effective Date) it often moves into the "Pre-Split Run" stage where quick and sometimes dramatic gains can occur.


                             Announce     Eff.       Split
Company Name     (Symbol)      Date       Date       Ratio   Options  
---------------- -------     --------    -------     ------  -------   
ePlus             PLUS      11/9/2021   12/14/2021  2-for-1   Yes
NAPCO Security    NSSC      12/8/2021   1/5/2022    2-for-1   Yes
AeroCentury Corp  ACY       12/17/2021  1/10/2022   5-for-1   No 
Merchants Bancorp MBIN      11/17/2021  1/18/2022   2-for-1   No
SMART Global Hold SGH        1/4/2022   2/2/2022    2-for-1   Yes
    

Split details are also available online at the RightLine Online Stock Split Calendar. For a detailed look at the different stages of a Stock Split, Click Here.




RightLine Risk Control Calculator A simple yet powerful tool, the Risk Control Calculator helps you manage risk by recommending a maximum number of shares to purchase. Available in the RightLine Member's Area.


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