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December 30, 2021 - The RightLine Report

 

Notes From The Editor

The Market ... Up or Down?

Many traders and investors want market analysts to provide directional forecasts and lot's of opinionated market commentary to support their predictions. Experienced professional traders avoid this type of fortune telling. Pros know they are much better off letting the market decide whether they should go long or go short.

Setting up trades waiting to be triggered in both up and down markets is one way to do this. As a rule of thumb, if the market goes up the long trades are triggered and the shorts aren't. If the market goes down, the short trades are triggered and the longs aren't.

This "two-way" method contrasts sharply with the common investor routine of relying on predictions about what the market will do. More importantly, it is much more effective than the "one-way" method of putting all your eggs in the prediction basket.

We humans naturally want to know what the future holds. So much so that we will sometimes look for a person in "authority" to tell us what lies ahead.

When it comes to stocks, many are in the habit of asking someone to tell us what direction the market will go. I suggest we're better off looking for good trade setups in both directions and letting the market speak for itself.

Trade well,

Thomas Sutton, Editor




Editorial    Quick List    Market Summary    Technical Analyst    Market Calendar   
Stocks Covered Today    Stock Splits     


Quick List


    
Stock     12/30     12/30      Buy      Short   Trailing Stops     Gain 
Symbol    Price      +/-      Entry     Entry   Initial/Tighten   Amount 
------  --------  --------  --------  --------  ---------------  --------

XPOF      20.33      0.18     21.04     19.39        1.65/0.83      3.58
PFE       58.41      0.82     59.51                  3.72/1.86      4.52
ACAD      23.54     -0.42     24.52      22.8        1.72/0.86       2.5
KRON      14.30      0.17     14.87     13.58        1.29/0.65      2.14
RELY      20.70      0.26     21.19     19.46        1.73/0.87      3.44


The "Quick List" provides a brief summary of each stock write-up and should be taken in the context of the related write-up presented in the "Stocks Covered in This Issue" section of this Report.

Be sure to read "How To Use The RightLine Quick List" and always use the RightLine Risk Control Calculator before entering any position.

For more on controlling risk go to the RightLine Risk Control System

For a glossary of terms unique to The RightLine Report go to: Glossary

Questions? Send us an email using our Contact Form.



Editorial    Quick List    Market Summary    Technical Analyst    Market Calendar   
Stocks Covered Today    Stock Splits     


Market Summary

Stocks were slightly lower on Thursday, with the S&P 500 just short of a new record high for the 71st time in 2021. In the background, the market continues to deal with the Fed's recent decision to tighten its monetary campaign despite ongoing inflation pressure. Economic headlines featured a drop in new unemployment claims as continuing claims reached a post-pandemic low, and Chicago manufacturing activity accelerated more than predicted. In equities, Micron Technology (MU $94) share prices dipped after the company warned of production disruptions due to lockdowns in China, while Biogen (BIIB $240) shares also fell after Samsung denied reports that it was in talks to buy the drug manufacturer. Oil, the USD/dollar, treasuries and gold prices all advanced higher.


                        Dec 29, 2021           Dec 30, 2021   
                  --------------------   --------------------
Dow                 36,488.63    90.42     36,398.08   -90.55
Nasdaq              15,766.22   -15.51     15,741.56   -24.65
S&P 500              4,793.06     6.71      4,778.73   -14.33

NYSE Volume                         3B                  3.15B
NYSE Advancers                   1,875                  1,857
NYSE Decliners                   1,481                  1,490

Nasdaq Volume                    3.71B                  3.74B
Nasdaq Advancers                 1,915                  2,754
Nasdaq Decliners                 2,727                  1,904

                                 New Highs/Lows

                   12/23  12/23  12/27  12/28  12/29  12/30
                 --------------------------------------------
NYSE New Highs       102    101    134    167    157    164
NYSE New Lows         28     28     43     62     89     55
Nasdaq New Highs      80     80    130    157    126    108
Nasdaq New Lows      122    121    198    319    447    179
   

Editorial    Quick List    Market Summary    Technical Analyst    Market Calendar   
Stocks Covered Today    Stock Splits     


TRADER'S TIP: "Try a Few Diamonds and Spiders!"

If you are new to shorting, a good place to start is with index "stocks" like QQQ (NASDAQ 100 Trust), DIA (Dow Diamonds), or SPY (Spiders). While they aren't actually "stocks," these popular instruments are widely traded in virtually the same fashion.

However, there is one distinct advantage. Unlike individual stocks, each index "stock" represents a broad list of securities. The DIA includes 30 stocks, the QQQ contains 100, and the SPY consists of 500. As a result, trading this type of index security lowers the risk associated with holding positions in specific companies.



The Technical Analyst

SPX Daily Chart

For help with this chart, be sure to read "Understanding The Importance Of Support And Resistance"
and "Improve Your Trading With Moving Averages".


S&P 500 - 4778.73 December 30, 2021

52-Week High: 4808.93
52-Week Low: 3662.71
Daily Trend: UP
Weekly trend: UP
Weekly Pivot Levels
Resistance 3: 5085.22
Resistance 2: 4875.55
Resistance 1: 4800.66
Pivot: 4665.88
Support 1: 4590.99
Support 2: 4456.21
Support 3: 4246.54

NASDAQ Composite - 15741.56 December 30, 2021

52-Week High: 16212.23
52-Week Low: 12397.05
Daily Trend: UP
Weekly trend: DOWN
Weekly Pivot Levels
Resistance 3: 17079.67
Resistance 2: 16241.73
Resistance 1: 15947.54
Pivot: 15403.79
Support 1: 15109.60
Support 2: 14565.85
Support 3: 13727.91
        
Dow Industrials - 36398.08 December 30, 2021

52-Week High: 36679.44
52-Week Low: 29856.30
Daily Trend: UP
Weekly trend: DOWN
Weekly Pivot Levels
Resistance 3: 38349.99
Resistance 2: 36954.50
Resistance 1: 36452.53
Pivot: 35559.01
Support 1: 35057.04
Support 2: 34163.53
Support 3: 32768.04
 

Editorial    Quick List    Market Summary    Technical Analyst    Market Calendar   
Stocks Covered Today    Stock Splits     


Market Calendar

ECONOMIC REPORTS AND EVENTS (all times are Eastern):    

Thursday, December 30, 2021:
30-Dec  8:30 am   Initial jobless claims (regular state program)
30-Dec  8:30 am   Continuing jobless claims (regular state program)
30-Dec  9:45 am   Chicago PMI

Friday, December 31, 2021:
31-Dec          None scheduled


For a chart of typical Up or Down market reactions to specific major US economic reports 
go to:  Economic Indicator Effects


Editorial    Quick List    Market Summary    Technical Analyst    Market Calendar   
Stocks Covered Today    Stock Splits     


TRADER'S TIP: "Hurry, Hurry, Step Right Up!"

Don't pay much attention to all the hype from brokerage analysts or the business media. Brokerage firms usually have more than just a casual interest in stocks they tout, and many times so does the media.



Stocks Covered in This Issue

CONSUMER CYCLICAL SECTOR

Xponential Fitness, Inc. (XPOF: Consumer Cyclical/Leisure) - SQUEEZE PLAY. XPOF shareholders know what it feels like to be squeezed. Thursday's slim price range reveals uncertainty on both sides of the table, a situation which often resolves itself by either Bears or Bulls quickly gaining a clear advantage. The question is "who will win?" Near-term market action tell us whether we should sell short or we should buy shares instead. XPOF closed Thursday at 20.33. The plan is to enter in the right direction by placing a BUY trigger at 21.04 and a SELL short trigger at 19.39. Once XPOF establishes direction, place your triggered order. As soon as you are in the trade, place a trailing stop in the amount of 1.65. After you've collected a 3.58 profit, tighten the stop to 0.83. Earnings Report Date: N/A. Beta: N/A. Market-Cap: 485.846M. Optionable.

HEALTHCARE SECTOR

Pfizer Inc. (PFE: Healthcare/Drug Manufacturers-General) - BULLISH BOUNCE. Some people hear of a stock that's performing nicely and then buy it without any regard for timing the entry. This approach usually leaves money on the table, money that could just as well be added to profits. The Bullish Bounce setup provides a well timed entry and reduces exposure to risk by placing both the entry trigger and exit stop near the bottom of the bounce. We have an opportunity to use this approach with PFE which met our setup criteria on Thursday. The BUY trigger for this trade is at 59.51, and the trailing stop is sized at 3.72. Resize the stop to 1.86 upon collecting a 4.52 point gain. PFE closed Thursday at 58.41. Earnings Report Date: Feb 08, 2022. Beta: 0.62. Market-Cap: 327.848B. Optionable.

ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ACAD: Healthcare/Biotechnology) - SQUEEZE PLAY. Thursday's trading session left ACAD in a very narrow price range after buyers and sellers fought to a near stalemate. Both sides are looking for some traction, and a breakout either way could provide a nice gain in the short term. To get aboard, set your BUY trigger at 24.52 and your SELL short trigger at 22.8. One of the orders will be triggered by upcoming price action. When your market order is filled, cancel the remaining trigger and enter a 1.72 trailing stop. Once you have a 2.5 profit, reduce the stop to 0.86. Earnings Report Date: Feb 22, 2022. Beta: 0.57. Market-Cap: 3.784B. Optionable.

Kronos Bio, Inc. (KRON: Healthcare/Biotechnology) - SQUEEZE PLAY. KRON is stuck in a Bull/Bear deadlock. Fortunately for traders this impasse should be resolved soon, with one side or the other taking control. We want to be positioned for a potential quick move up or down, so get ready to catch this train with a BUY entry at 14.87 and a SELL short entry at 13.58. Once your trade is filled, enter a 1.29 trailing stop. Tighten it to 0.65 after a 2.14 gain. KRON closed on Thursday at 14.30. Earnings Report Date: Mar 21, 2022. Beta: N/A. Market-Cap: 805.766M. Optionable.

TECHNOLOGY SECTOR

Remitly Global, Inc. (RELY: Technology/Software-Infrastructure) - SQUEEZE PLAY. The ticker for Thursday's session shows RELY is now stuck in a tight price band. With the cyclical contraction and expansion nature of volatility in force, we should see a new period of price expansion in the days ahead. To improve the odds of catching the next directional wave, place a BUY trigger at 21.19 and a SELL short trigger at 19.46. When RELY starts moving out of its narrow range, your order will be triggered. Once you're in the trade, cancel the opposing trigger and set a 1.73 trailing stop. Upon reaching a 3.44 profit, resize the stop to 0.87. Earnings Report Date: N/A. Beta: N/A. Market-Cap: 3.397B. Optionable.

IMPORTANT: Before entering any positions, always use the Risk Control System to determine the level of acceptable risk and the maximum number of shares to buy. Use Gap Adjusted Entries to reset the Entry Price for stocks that gap beyond recommended entry levels.



Editorial    Quick List    Market Summary    Technical Analyst    Market Calendar   
Stocks Covered Today    Stock Splits     


Stock Splits

Below are the stocks that have announced splits and have recently executed or will execute soon. There is generally a return to normal price behavior in the weeks following a split announcement in what we call a "Dormancy Phase." As the stock nears its split execution date (Effective Date) it often moves into the "Pre-Split Run" stage where quick and sometimes dramatic gains can occur.


                             Announce     Eff.       Split
Company Name     (Symbol)      Date       Date       Ratio   Options  
---------------- -------     --------    -------     ------  -------   
Arista Networks   ANET      11/1/2021   11/18/2021  4-for-1   Yes
ePlus             PLUS      11/9/2021   12/14/2021  2-for-1   Yes
NAPCO Security    NSSC      12/8/2021   1/5/2022    2-for-1   Yes
AeroCentury Corp  ACY       12/17/2021  1/10/2021   5-for-1   No 
Merchants Bancorp MBIN      11/17/2021  1/18/2022   2-for-1   No
    

Split details are also available online at the RightLine Online Stock Split Calendar. For a detailed look at the different stages of a Stock Split, Click Here.




RightLine Risk Control Calculator A simple yet powerful tool, the Risk Control Calculator helps you manage risk by recommending a maximum number of shares to purchase. Available in the RightLine Member's Area.


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