May 2, 2023 - The RightLine Report

 
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                      NOTES FROM THE EDITOR
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As with any other endeavor in life, trading has its own vibrant community of people who are interested in learning, sharing, and improving their craft. Going it alone, sitting at your computer, it's easy to overlook this fact.

By reading this Report, you're already tapping into outside advice that can improve your trading. But what about face-to-face conversations or online forums? These can also be great sources of information.

Do you have any friends who trade? Even a casual conversation can reveal interesting details about their trading strategy. They might be able to provide you with feedback and advice on your own approach. Also consider joining a local trading group. Many areas of the country have groups that gather on a regular basis - every month, for example - to learn, share, and discuss.

The online community is jam-packed with trading forums. In this case, you need to be a bit more selective. Oftentimes these forums will be filled with hype, emotion, and hot air - the exact opposite of what traders need in order to be profitable. But a more objective, learning-based approach can be found; all it takes is some basic searching. Some forums even have live chatrooms where you can talk about trading on a real-time basis.

There's also no shortage of news sites devoted to the markets. These can be worth checking out, but remember not to get caught up in the endless deluge of new developments. While specific news stories can drive price action, there are stronger underlying forces - both technical and economic - that influence stocks.

It's also important to remember that news stories are often priced in ahead of time; by the time they become "fact," the lion's share of the price move has already occurred.

The same applies to CNBC and other market-focused media. Don't get caught up in the siren's call of a smooth-talking analyst, a hotly-hyped earnings announcement, or the steady crawl of the stock ticker. Focus on the price action, and what's actually happening in the market; the tale of the chart tells the real story!

Here's to profits,

Kent Barton
Senior Analyst

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                           "QUICK LIST"
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Stock     05/02     05/02      Buy      Short   Trailing Stops     Gain 
Symbol    Price      +/-      Entry     Entry   Initial/Tighten   Amount 
------  --------  --------  --------  --------  ---------------  --------

JAKK      22.97      0.25     23.38     21.82        1.56/0.78      2.02
IMKTA     92.54      0.06     93.96                  5.28/2.64      3.46
RVMD      23.35     -0.50     24.29     22.44        1.85/0.93      2.18
TCX       22.11      0.50     22.63                  2.45/1.23       2.5
MAXN      26.10     -0.82     27.33     24.98        2.35/1.18      3.46


The "Quick List" provides a brief summary of each stock write-up and should be taken in the context of the related write-up presented in the "Stocks Covered in This Issue" section of this Report.

Be sure to read "How To Use The RightLine Quick List" at https://prorightline.com/index.php/rightline-report-quick-list/. In addition,always use the RightLine Risk Calculator before entering any position. For access to the Risk Calculator, go to https://prorightline.com/index.php/risk-calculator/.

To learn more about controlling risk go to the RightLine Risk Control System at https://prorightline.com/index.php/rightline-risk-control-system/

For a glossary of terms unique to The RightLine Report go to: https://prorightline.com/index.php/glossary/

Questions? Send us an email using our contact form at: https://prorightline.com/index.php/contact-us/
 
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                           MARKET SUMMARY
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The US stock market was lower on Tuesday ahead of a key Fed Bank interest rate decision on Wednesday, as renewed weakness in regional banks triggered bearish sentiment. Shares of Western Alliance were down 15% and PacWest dropped 27% with the rescue of First Republic Bank over the weekend failing to ease financial stability worries. The financial and energy sectors led the losses, while the growth areas of the market were lifted by the drop in bond yields. Along with the ongoing bank troubles, concern over congressional debt-ceiling discussions also helped bonds rally and reinforced the idea that rates will soon peak.


                       May 1, 2023            May 2, 2023    
                  --------------------   --------------------
Dow                 34,051.70   -46.46     33,684.53  -367.17
Nasdaq              12,212.60   -13.99     12,080.51  -132.09
S&P 500              4,167.87    -1.61      4,119.58   -48.29

NYSE Volume                      3.33B                  4.49B
NYSE Advancers                   1,212                    603
NYSE Decliners                   1,777                  2,399

Nasdaq Volume                    5.18B                  5.51B
Nasdaq Advancers                 2,044                  1,281
Nasdaq Decliners                 2,392                  3,129

                                 New Highs/Lows

                   04/25  04/26  04/27  04/28  05/01  05/02
                 --------------------------------------------
NYSE New Highs        43     31     37     72     83     41
NYSE New Lows        103    101     55     37     35    152
Nasdaq New Highs      39     51     53     71    103     62
Nasdaq New Lows      385    408    219    153    198    443

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                              TRADER'S TIP:  
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TRADER'S TIP: "Free Advice From TV Talking Heads"

When it comes to financial advice, always remember that the brokerage firms who pay the advisors make most of their money from commissions on stock sales. It may only be a few bucks for each transaction, but it adds up to hundreds of billions of dollars. Though many analysts are well intended, a major purpose of their stock picks is to attract customers and generate order flow. Whether the recommendations are profitable or not really isn't that important - the companies make money whenever someone buys or sells shares.
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                         THE TECHNICAL ANALYST
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This section contains important technical data for the three major market averages -- the S&P 500, the Nasdaq Comp Index, and the Dow Industrial Average.

For guidance on how to use this information, go to: https://prorightline.com/index.php/technical-analyst-section-rightline-report/
S&P 500 - 4119.58 May 2, 2023

52-Week High: 4325.28
52-Week Low: 3491.58
Daily Trend: UP
Weekly trend: UP
Weekly Pivot Levels
Resistance 3: 4371.05
Resistance 2: 4250.34
Resistance 1: 4209.91
Pivot: 4129.63
Support 1: 4089.20
Support 2: 4008.92
Support 3: 3888.21
https://www.prorightline.com/rlch/050223SPX.jpg
NASDAQ Composite - 12080.51 May 2, 2023 52-Week High: 13181.09 52-Week Low: 10088.83 Daily Trend: UP Weekly trend: UP Weekly Pivot Levels Resistance 3: 12942.25 Resistance 2: 12513.30 Resistance 1: 12369.94 Pivot: 12084.35 Support 1: 11940.99 Support 2: 11655.40 Support 3: 11226.45
Dow Industrials - 33684.53 May 2, 2023 52-Week High: 34712.28 52-Week Low: 28660.94 Daily Trend: UP Weekly trend: UP Weekly Pivot Levels Resistance 3: 35550.27 Resistance 2: 34681.56 Resistance 1: 34389.86 Pivot: 33812.85 Support 1: 33521.15 Support 2: 32944.14 Support 3: 32075.43
************************** MARKET CALENDAR **************************
--ECONOMIC REPORTS AND EVENTS (all times are Eastern):
Monday, May 01, 2023:
01-May  MONDAY, MAY 1   
01-May  10:00 am   ISM manufacturing
01-May  10:00 am   Construction spending
01-May  TUESDAY, MAY 2   

Tuesday, May 02, 2023:
02-May  10:00 am   U.S. job openings
02-May  10:00 am   Factory orders
02-May  WEDNESDAY, MAY 3   

Wednesday, May 03, 2023:
03-May  8:15 am   ADP employment
03-May  10:00 am   ISM services
03-May  2:00 pm   Federal Reserve interest-rate statement
03-May  2:30 pm   Fed Chair Powell press conference
03-May  THURSDAY, MAY 4   

Thursday, May 04, 2023:
04-May  8:30 am   U.S. productivity
04-May  8:30 am   U.S. trade deficit
04-May  8:30 am   Initial jobless claims
04-May  8:30 am   Continuing jobless claims
04-May  FRIDAY, MAY 5   

Friday, May 05, 2023:
05-May  8:30 am   U.S. employment report
05-May  8:30 am   U.S. unemployment rate
05-May  8:30 am   U.S. hourly wages
05-May  8:30 am   Hourly wages year over year
05-May  3:00 pm   Consumer credit


For a chart of typical Up or Down market reactions to specific major US economic reports, go to "Economic Indicator Effects" at this link: https://prorightline.com/index.php/economic-indicator-effects/
 
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                              TRADER'S TIP: 
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TRADER'S TIP: "Profits Improve With Technical Timing"

Regardless of the reasons you decide to buy a stock, Technical Analysis is always helpful when it comes to timing entries. Support and resistance on the charts may be unfamiliar to most investors, but they have a huge impact on stock price movement.

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                      STOCKS COVERED IN THIS ISSUE    
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CONSUMER CYCLICAL SECTOR

JAKKS Pacific, Inc. (JAKK: Consumer Cyclical/Leisure) - SQUEEZE PLAY. Traders are feeling the pressure as JAKK's intra-day price range on Tuesday shrunk to the narrowest spread in over a week. The tension between buyers and sellers should provide enough pent-up engergy for a breakout move in the days ahead, so get ready to trade with the new trend. To achieve that, place a BUY entry at 23.38 and a SELL short entry at 21.82. JAKK's price movement will decide which entry is filled. As soon as you're in the trade, enter a 1.56 trailing stop. Tighten it to 0.78 after you get a 2.02 gain. JAKK closed Tuesday at 22.97. Earnings Report Date: Jul 25, 2023. Beta: 2.17. Market-Cap: 226.735M. Optionable.

CONSUMER DEFENSIVE SECTOR

Ingles Markets, Incorporated (IMKTA: Consumer Defensive/Grocery Stores) - BULLISH BOUNCE. Entering a position in the early stages of a bounce is great way to get on board an up-trending stock. The "Bullish Bounce" setup identifies probable candidates by evaluating the trading action that takes place near support levels. IMKTA's behavior on Tuesday could very well be a sign that a new bounce is underway. Place a BUY trigger at 93.96. In the event your trigger is met, also place a 5.28 trailing stop which can be trimmed down to 2.64 when you have a 3.46 profit. IMKTA closed Tuesday at 92.54. Earnings Report Date: May 03, 2023. Beta: 0.65. Market-Cap: 1.758B. Optionable.

HEALTHCARE SECTOR

Revolution Medicines, Inc. (RVMD: Healthcare/Biotechnology) - SQUEEZE PLAY. Tuesday's narrow price range has created a potentially profitable setup in RVMD, as sellers and buyers find themselves in a near tie for control of price direction. The next short-term trend could go either way, so prepare for a move out of the draw within the next day or so. Set a BUY entry at 24.29 and a SELL short entry at 22.44. Let RVMD's price action determine your long or short entry. Once the order is filled, place a 1.85 trailing stop, and tighten it to 0.93 upon getting a 2.18 gain. RVMD closed Tuesday at 23.35. Earnings Report Date: May 08, 2023. Beta: 1.45. Market-Cap: 2.482B. Optionable.

TECHNOLOGY SECTOR

Tucows Inc. (TCX: Technology/Software-Infrastructure) - BULLISH BOUNCE. Some people hear of a stock that's performing nicely and then buy it without any regard for timing the entry. This approach usually leaves money on the table, money that could just as well be added to profits. The Bullish Bounce setup provides a well timed entry and reduces exposure to risk by placing both the entry trigger and exit stop near the bottom of the bounce. We have an opportunity to use this approach with TCX which met our setup criteria on Tuesday. The BUY trigger for this trade is at 22.63, and the trailing stop is sized at 2.45. Resize the stop to 1.23 upon collecting a 2.5 point gain. TCX closed Tuesday at 22.11. Earnings Report Date: May 08, 2023. Beta: 0.82. Market-Cap: 239.445M. Optionable.

Maxeon Solar Technologies, Ltd. (MAXN: Technology/Solar) - SQUEEZE PLAY. A look at MAXN's daily chart shows what a price squeeze is all about. The constricted high-low daily trading range has produced a setup similar to a tightly coiled spring. Expect price to move sharply soon, with the direction yet to be determined. Let the upcoming market action resolve whether you will buy shares or sell short. To capture a move either way, place a BUY trigger at 27.33 and a SELL short trigger at 24.98. Once MAXN shows which way it's headed, place your triggered entry order. As soon as your order is filled, follow with a trailing stop of 2.35 and tighten to 1.18 on a 3.46 gain. MAXN closed Tuesday at 26.10. Earnings Report Date: May 16, 2023. Beta: 1.52. Market-Cap: 1.176B. Optionable.


IMPORTANT: Before entering any recommended positions, always use the RightLine "Risk Control System" to determine the level of acceptable risk and the maximum number of shares to buy.
Link: https://prorightline.com/index.php/rightline-risk-control-system/

Use "Gap Adjusted Entries" to reset the Entry Price for stocks that gap beyond recommended entry levels.
Link: https://prorightline.com/index.php/gap-adjusted-entries-increase-profits/

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                           STOCK SPLIT SUMMARY
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Below are the stocks that have announced splits and have recently executed or will execute soon. There is generally a return to normal price behavior in the weeks following a split announcement in what we call a "Dormancy Phase." As the stock nears its split execution date it often moves into the "Pre-Split Run" stage where quick and sometimes dramatic gains can occur.
                             Announce     Eff.       Split
Company Name     (Symbol)      Date       Date       Ratio   Options  
---------------- -------     --------    -------     ------  -------   

NOTE: The number of stock split announcments goes up during Bull markets, 
and goes down during Bear market cycles. There are currently no upcoming 
stock splits that meet RightLine's proprietary criteria for split ratio, 
trading volume and price action.  

For a closer look at the different stages of a Stock Split go to: https://prorightline.com/index.php/trading-stock-splits-stages/
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Best of luck and have a Great Week!
 
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