March 16, 2023 - The RightLine Report ********************************** NOTES FROM THE EDITOR **********************************
So, what sort of dollar value would you give to your mistakes? Most people consider them worthless, or usually even a costly liability. In reality, our mistakes have a tremendous amount of positive value, but only if we have learned the lessons they contain.
*********************************** "QUICK LIST" *********************************** Stock 03/16 03/16 Buy Short Trailing Stops Gain Symbol Price +/- Entry Entry Initial/Tighten Amount ------ -------- -------- -------- -------- --------------- -------- MSB 24.67 0.46 25.01 1.9/0.95 3.1 MNSO 18.68 0.10 19.07 17.65 1.42/0.71 1.62 LMNR 16.11 0.44 16.48 1.57/0.79 0.82 AR 22.38 0.36 22.8 20.95 1.85/0.93 2.36 The "Quick List" provides a brief summary of each stock write-up and should be taken in the context of the related write-up presented in the "Stocks Covered in This Issue" section of this Report. Be sure to read "How To Use The RightLine Quick List" at https://prorightline.com/index.php/rightline-report-quick-list/. In addition,always use the RightLine Risk Calculator before entering any position. For access to the Risk Calculator, go to https://prorightline.com/index.php/risk-calculator/. To learn more about controlling risk go to the RightLine Risk Control System at https://prorightline.com/index.php/rightline-risk-control-system/ For a glossary of terms unique to The RightLine Report go to: https://prorightline.com/index.php/glossary/ Questions? Send us an email using our contact form at: https://prorightline.com/index.php/contact-us/ ***************************** MARKET SUMMARY ***************************** The top US stock indices were significantly higher on Thursday as traders digested a robust round of economic news. Unemployment claims declined more than expected, housing construction was up much more than anticipated, import prices declined, and Philadelphia manufacturing continues to be stuck in in a contraction zone. In equities, Dollar General (DG $212) announced mixed quarterly results, while Adobe (ADBE $353) beat expectations and presented a positive outlook. Gold and the USD/dollar finished the session lower, treasury yields and oil prices were higher. Mar 15, 2023 Mar 16, 2023 -------------------- -------------------- Dow 31,874.57 -280.83 32,246.55 371.98 Nasdaq 11,434.05 5.90 11,717.28 283.22 S&P 500 3,891.93 -27.36 3,960.28 68.35 NYSE Volume 6.62B 5.72B NYSE Advancers 677 2,291 NYSE Decliners 2,349 737 Nasdaq Volume 5.93B 5.51B Nasdaq Advancers 1,335 2,957 Nasdaq Decliners 3,103 1,510 New Highs/Lows 03/09 03/10 03/13 03/14 03/15 03/16 -------------------------------------------- NYSE New Highs 51 25 14 18 12 16 NYSE New Lows 96 209 345 99 266 177 Nasdaq New Highs 72 37 31 31 28 54 Nasdaq New Lows 312 547 623 214 432 284 *********************************** TRADER'S TIP: *********************************** TRADER'S TIP: "True Confidence" Most new traders have the potential to become profitable, yet the majority has a tough time surviving the early days. The main reason is that the average trader gets virtually no training in risk and trade management. As a result, they accumulate losses, and give up before they've invested enough time and effort to gain the "true" confidence that comes with experience. "True" confidence is more than just ego- based bravado. It allows traders to be patient, and compels them to choose intelligent action instead of jumping into the market without a protective strategy. The beliefs that make up true confidence cause us wait for a good trade setup instead of grabbing the first one that comes along. ************************** THE TECHNICAL ANALYST ************************** This section contains important technical data for the three major market averages -- the S&P 500, the Nasdaq Comp Index, and the Dow Industrial Average. For guidance on how to use this information, go to: https://prorightline.com/index.php/technical-analyst-section-rightline-report/ S&P 500 - 3960.28 March 16, 2023 52-Week High: 4637.30 52-Week Low: 3491.58 Daily Trend: UP Weekly trend: UP Weekly Pivot Levels Resistance 3: 2902.30 Resistance 2: 2746.70 Resistance 1: 1373.35 Pivot: 2591.10 Support 1: 1217.75 Support 2: 2435.50 Support 3: 2279.90 https://www.prorightline.com/rlch/031623SPX.jpg--ECONOMIC REPORTS AND EVENTS (all times are Eastern): FRIDAY, MARCH 17 9:15 am Industrial production 9:15 am Capacity utilization 10:00 am U.S. leading economic index 10:00 am Consumer sentiment For a chart of typical Up or Down market reactions to specific major US economic reports, go to "Economic Indicator Effects" at this link: https://prorightline.com/index.php/economic-indicator-effects/ *********************************** TRADER'S TIP: *********************************** TRADER'S TIP: "Charts Reveal Emotions" A stock price chart is an expression of trader and investor emotions, with fear and greed at opposite poles. Fear is generally a much stronger emotion than greed, and the reason that markets tend to go down faster than they go up. *********************************** STOCKS COVERED IN THIS ISSUE *********************************** BASIC MATERIALS SECTOR Mesabi Trust (MSB: Basic Materials/Steel) - BULLISH BOUNCE. Up-trending stocks like MSB have a tendency to bounce their way skyward rather than travel higher in a straight line. After touching down to a moving average support level on Thursday, MSB is poised to lift off again. To take advantage of this setup, prepare to BUY shares at 25.01 if positive price action occurs. As always, follow your entry with a trailing stop. A 1.9 trailer should work well with MSB. Tighten it to 0.95 on a 3.1 gainer. Earnings Report Date: Apr 25, 2023. Beta: 0.96. Market-Cap: 323.67M. Optionable. CONSUMER CYCLICAL SECTOR MINISO Group Holding Limited (MNSO: Consumer Cyclical/Specialty Retail) - SQUEEZE PLAY. A look at MNSO's daily chart shows what a price squeeze is all about. The constricted high-low daily trading range has produced a setup similar to a tightly coiled spring. Expect price to move sharply soon, with the direction yet to be determined. Let the upcoming market action resolve whether you will buy shares or sell short. To capture a move either way, place a BUY trigger at 19.07 and a SELL short trigger at 17.65. Once MNSO shows which way it's headed, place your triggered entry order. As soon as your order is filled, follow with a trailing stop of 1.42 and tighten to 0.71 on a 1.62 gain. MNSO closed Thursday at 18.68. Earnings Report Date: May 24, 2023. Beta: 0.33. Market-Cap: 6.208B. Optionable. CONSUMER DEFENSIVE SECTOR Limoneira Company (LMNR: Consumer Defensive/Farm Products) - BULLISH BOUNCE. If you are looking for another bouncer with profits in mind, LMNR fits the bill. Shares have been in retreat-mode lately, but now this stock is in the process of bouncing from support. Currently priced at 16.11, plan to buy shares at 16.48 and use a 1.57 trailing stop. Tighten the stop to 0.79 on a 0.82 gain. Earnings Report Date: Jun 05, 2023. Beta: 0.62. Market-Cap: 287.251M. Optionable. ENERGY SECTOR Antero Resources Corporation (AR: Energy/Oil & Gas E&P) - SQUEEZE PLAY. Thursday's trading action forced AR's daily price range into an abnormally narrow state. This translates into opportunity; for the cyclical nature of price volatility is to shrink extensively, then swell rapidly as shares move in one direction or another. Instead of trying to predict the direction AR will take when price volatility begins to increase, we'll set both a BUY (long) and a SELL (short) trigger to get us into the right trade. Be ready to BUY shares at 22.8 if AR moves higher, and place your order to SELL short at 20.95 if price declines to that level. As usual follow your entry with a trailing stop, 1.85 should be sufficient. Reduce your stop to 0.93 on a 2.36 gain. AR closed Thursday at 22.38. Earnings Report Date: Apr 25, 2023. Beta: 3.50. Market-Cap: 6.608B. Optionable. IMPORTANT: Before entering any recommended positions, always use the RightLine "Risk Control System" to determine the level of acceptable risk and the maximum number of shares to buy. Link: https://prorightline.com/index.php/rightline-risk-control-system/ Use "Gap Adjusted Entries" to reset the Entry Price for stocks that gap beyond recommended entry levels. Link: https://prorightline.com/index.php/gap-adjusted-entries-increase-profits/ *********************************** STOCK SPLIT SUMMARY *********************************** Below are the stocks that have announced splits and have recently executed or will execute soon. There is generally a return to normal price behavior in the weeks following a split announcement in what we call a "Dormancy Phase." As the stock nears its split execution date it often moves into the "Pre-Split Run" stage where quick and sometimes dramatic gains can occur. Announce Eff. Split Company Name (Symbol) Date Date Ratio Options ---------------- ------- -------- ------- ------ ------- NOTE: The number of stock split announcments goes up during Bull markets, and goes down during Bear market cycles. There are currently no upcoming stock splits that meet RightLine's proprietary criteria for split ratio, trading volume and price action. For a closer look at the different stages of a Stock Split go to: https://prorightline.com/index.php/trading-stock-splits-stages/ ====================================================================== Best of luck and have a Great Week! ********** If you prefer to receive this report in html with color and graphics, or have any questions, send us an email using our contact form at:https://prorightline.com/index.php/contact-us/ ====================================================================== DISCLAIMER The RightLine Report is an information service for investors and traders. It is not a solicitation nor a recommendation or offer to buy or sell securities. The information provided is obtained from sources deemed reliable but is not guaranteed as to accuracy or completeness. The publishers of The RightLine Report are not brokers or financial advisors, and are not acting in any way to influence the purchase or sale of any security. 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