August 8, 2024 - The RightLine Report ********************************** NOTES FROM THE EDITOR **********************************
"Think education is expensive? Try ignorance." RightLine took this bit of wisdom to heart in 1997 and turned it into a company trademark.
*********************************** "QUICK LIST" *********************************** Stock 08/08 08/08 Buy Short Trailing Stops Gain Symbol Price +/- Entry Entry Initial/Tighten Amount ------ -------- -------- -------- -------- --------------- -------- JAKK 21.13 0.58 21.5 1.54/0.77 1.46 DCOM 22.40 0.51 22.7 21.22 1.48/0.74 2.3 STVN 20.20 0.58 20.65 1.72/0.86 2.4 DNLI 22.28 0.60 22.98 1.89/0.95 2.18 NRIX 20.16 0.15 20.68 19.07 1.61/0.81 3.06 The "Quick List" provides a brief summary of each stock write-up and should be taken in the context of the related write-up presented in the "Stocks Covered in This Issue" section of this Report. Be sure to read "How To Use The RightLine Quick List" at https://prorightline.com/index.php/rightline-report-quick-list/. In addition,always use the RightLine Risk Calculator before entering any position. For access to the Risk Calculator, go to https://prorightline.com/index.php/risk-calculator/. To learn more about controlling risk go to the RightLine Risk Control System at https://prorightline.com/index.php/rightline-risk-control-system/ For a glossary of terms unique to The RightLine Report go to: https://prorightline.com/index.php/glossary/ Questions? Send us an email using our contact form at: https://prorightline.com/index.php/contact-us/ ***************************** MARKET SUMMARY ***************************** Major equity markets closed higher on Thursday, with large-cap stocks outpacing small and mid-cap stocks. Technology, communication services, and industrial sectors led the advance. Bond yields resumed their recent upward trend, with the 10-year Treasury yield reaching approximately 3.99%. In global markets, Asia was mostly lower as investors evaluated weaker-than-expected trade data from Japan, while Europe showed mixed results after recent gains. The USD/dollar strengthened against major currencies. In commodities, both WTI oil and gold saw price increases. With 89% of S&P 500 companies reporting second-quarter earnings, the results continue to impress. Approximately 78% of these companies have exceeded analyst expectations, delivering an average upside surprise of 3.3%. Year-over-year earnings growth for the quarter stands at 10.6%, the highest rate since the fourth quarter of 2021. Broad sector performance is evident, with nine of the 11 sectors reporting year-over-year earnings increases. This broadening of earnings performance could allow lagging sectors to catch up to technology and communication services, which have driven market gains. Weekly jobless claims dropped to 233,000, better than the expected 240,000. This provides some relief following the July jobs report, which revealed a higher-than-expected unemployment rate of 4.3%, raising recession concerns. The jobless claims data supports the view that the labor market is gradually cooling but remains stable, which aligns with the "soft landing" narrative for the economy and moderating inflation. Softer wage growth typically leads to lower services inflation, reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates soon. Current market expectations anticipate Fed rate cuts to begin in September. Aug 7, 2024 Aug 8, 2024 -------------------- -------------------- Dow 38,763.45 -234.21 39,446.49 683.04 Nasdaq 16,195.81 -171.05 16,660.02 464.22 S&P 500 5,199.50 -40.53 5,319.31 119.81 NYSE Volume 4.56B 4.02B NYSE Advancers 1,189 2,266 NYSE Decliners 1,626 560 Nasdaq Volume 5.93B 5.84B Nasdaq Advancers 1,370 3,133 Nasdaq Decliners 2,848 1,129 New Highs/Lows 08/01 08/02 08/05 08/06 08/07 08/08 -------------------------------------------- NYSE New Highs 208 158 42 49 99 35 NYSE New Lows 53 116 221 54 58 48 Nasdaq New Highs 107 111 90 44 47 51 Nasdaq New Lows 178 330 594 144 191 195 *********************************** TRADER'S TIP: *********************************** TRADER'S TIP: "Profits Improve With Technical Timing" Regardless of the reasons you decide to buy a stock, Technical Analysis is always helpful when it comes to timing entries. Support and resistance on the charts may be unfamiliar to most investors, but they have a huge impact on stock price movement. ************************** THE TECHNICAL ANALYST ************************** This section contains important technical data for the three major market averages -- the S&P 500, the Nasdaq Comp Index, and the Dow Industrial Average. For guidance on how to use this information, go to: https://prorightline.com/index.php/technical-analyst-section-rightline-report/ https://www.prorightline.com/rlch/080824SPX.jpg--ECONOMIC REPORTS AND EVENTS (all times are Eastern): MONDAY, Aug. 5 9:45 am S&P final U.S. services PMI 10:00 am ISM services July TUESDAY, Aug. 6 8:30 am U.S. trade deficit WEDNESDAY, Aug. 7 3:00 pm Consumer credit THURSDAY, Aug. 8 8:30 am Initial jobless claims 10:00 am Wholesale inventories 3:00 pm Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin speaks FRIDAY, Aug. 9 None scheduled For a chart of typical Up or Down market reactions to specific major US economic reports, go to "Economic Indicator Effects" at this link: https://prorightline.com/index.php/economic-indicator-effects/ *********************************** TRADER'S TIP: *********************************** TRADER'S TIP: "When Half Is Better" If you have any doubt about a trade, or think your position size may be too large, either cut it in half or exit entirely. It's much better to end up with half or less of the desired profit than to take twice the unwanted loss. In any case, don't risk more than you can afford to give up without pain, for when it comes to the stock market, things can change very quickly. *********************************** STOCKS COVERED IN THIS ISSUE *********************************** CONSUMER CYCLICAL SECTOR JAKKS Pacific, Inc. (JAKK: Consumer Cyclical/Leisure) - BULLISH BOUNCE. Some people hear of a stock that's performing nicely and then buy it without any regard for timing the entry. This approach usually leaves money on the table, money that could just as well be added to profits. The Bullish Bounce setup provides a well timed entry and reduces exposure to risk by placing both the entry trigger and exit stop near the bottom of the bounce. We have an opportunity to use this approach with JAKK which met our setup criteria on Thursday. The BUY trigger for this trade is at 21.5, and the trailing stop is sized at 1.54. Resize the stop to 0.77 upon collecting a 1.46 point gain. JAKK closed Thursday at 21.13. Earnings Report Date: Oct 30, 2024. Beta: 2.38. Market-Cap: 232.094M. Optionable. FINANCIAL SERVICES SECTOR Dime Community Bancshares, Inc. (DCOM: Financial Services/Banks - Regional) - SQUEEZE PLAY. Traders are feeling the pressure as DCOM's intra-day price range on Thursday shrunk to the narrowest spread in over a week. The tension between buyers and sellers should provide enough pent-up engergy for a breakout move in the days ahead, so get ready to trade with the new trend. To achieve that, place a BUY entry at 22.7 and a SELL short entry at 21.22. DCOM's price movement will decide which entry is filled. As soon as you're in the trade, enter a 1.48 trailing stop. Tighten it to 0.74 after you get a 2.3 gain. DCOM closed Thursday at 22.40. Earnings Report Date: Oct 17, 2024. Beta: 1.10. Market-Cap: 876.929M. Optionable. HEALTHCARE SECTOR Stevanato Group S.p.A. (STVN: Healthcare/Medical Instruments & Supplies) - BULLISH BOUNCE. Everyone familiar with price charts knows that a stock tends to bounce its way higher rather than move in a straight line. The lower levels of these short-term rebounds offer a safe and often early entry into stocks that are in the process of establishing longer-term uptrends. STVN's reaction to support on Thursday created a Bullish Bounce setup with a BUY entry trigger at 20.65. Use a 1.72 trailing stop, which should work well with STVN's typical daily range. Tighten it to 0.86 on a 2.4 profit. STVN closed at 20.20 on Thursday. Earnings Report Date: N/A. Beta: 0.58. Market-Cap: 5.512B. Optionable. Denali Therapeutics Inc. (DNLI: Healthcare/Biotechnology) - BULLISH BOUNCE. Entering a position in the early stages of a bounce is great way to get on board an up-trending stock. The "Bullish Bounce" setup identifies probable candidates by evaluating the trading action that takes place near support levels. DNLI's behavior on Thursday could very well be a sign that a new bounce is underway. Place a BUY trigger at 22.98. In the event your trigger is met, also place a 1.89 trailing stop which can be trimmed down to 0.95 when you have a 2.18 profit. DNLI closed Thursday at 22.28. Earnings Report Date: Nov 5, 2024. Beta: 1.39. Market-Cap: 3.19B. Optionable. Nurix Therapeutics, Inc. (NRIX: Healthcare/Biotechnology) - SQUEEZE PLAY. NRIX is stuck in a Bull/Bear deadlock. Fortunately for traders this impasse should be resolved soon, with one side or the other taking control. We want to be positioned for a potential quick move up or down, so get ready to catch this train with a BUY entry at 20.68 and a SELL short entry at 19.07. Once your trade is filled, enter a 1.61 trailing stop. Tighten it to 0.81 after a 3.06 gain. NRIX closed on Thursday at 20.16. Earnings Report Date: Oct 10, 2024. Beta: 2.22. Market-Cap: 1.299B. Optionable. IMPORTANT: Before entering any recommended positions, always use the RightLine "Risk Control System" to determine the level of acceptable risk and the maximum number of shares to buy. Link: https://prorightline.com/index.php/rightline-risk-control-system/ Use "Gap Adjusted Entries" to reset the Entry Price for stocks that gap beyond recommended entry levels. Link: https://prorightline.com/index.php/gap-adjusted-entries-increase-profits/ *********************************** STOCK SPLIT SUMMARY *********************************** Below are the stocks that have announced splits and have recently executed or will execute soon. There is generally a return to normal price behavior in the weeks following a split announcement in what we call a "Dormancy Phase." As the stock nears its split execution date it often moves into the "Pre-Split Run" stage where quick and sometimes dramatic gains can occur. Announce Eff. Split Company Name (Symbol) Date Date Ratio Options ---------------- ------- -------- ------- ------ ------- NOTE: The number of stock split announcments goes up during Bull markets, and goes down during Bear market cycles. There are currently no upcoming stock splits that meet RightLine's proprietary criteria for split ratio, trading volume and price action. For a closer look at the different stages of a Stock Split go to: https://prorightline.com/index.php/trading-stock-splits-stages/ ====================================================================== Best of luck and have a Great Week! ********** If you prefer to receive this report in html with color and graphics, or have any questions, send us an email using our contact form at:https://prorightline.com/index.php/contact-us/ ====================================================================== DISCLAIMER The RightLine Report is an information service for investors and traders. 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