January 31, 2023 - The RightLine Report

 
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                      NOTES FROM THE EDITOR
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Among the most appealing attributes of trading the stock market is the potential to make an exceptionally good income, and to do it from just about any place you choose. Computer and Internet technology provides access to the markets in ways that could only be imagined twenty years ago. For the first time in history, the financial freedom that was accessible only to an elite group of investors is now within reach of the average person. However, as powerful as this technology has proven to be, anyone who attempts to trade or invest in stocks without the proper training and education is very likely to regret it.

Fortunately there is a route we can all take where the risk is low and the success rate is high. It's a rather humble strategy that prioritizes an understanding of risk control above every other aspect of trading. Some new traders may view it as boring because it's not very glamorous and obviously requires discipline. However, we're not talking about the difficult sort of discipline that's required of professionals in complicated vocations like medicine or engineering. In fact, the discipline here is much easier than that.

In a trading context, discipline simply means that we always include a basic group of essential actions every time we put on a trade - no exceptions. The reason we do this? Because our experience has taught us that traders who consistently use these simple tactics are much more successful than those who don't use them at all or only when they "remember" to.

It's amazing how a simple risk control strategy is often the only difference between winning and losing. You might think that since this one facet of trading is so easy, everyone would just go ahead and do it. But for some reason it's often the small, seemingly insignificant things that challenge traders the most. I know that's true in my case. When I first began trading stocks, it took several big losses and a subscription to the RightLine Report to realize that I wasn't taking the simple steps necessary to protect my trading account.

I also learned that a little bit of denial and procrastination goes a long way.

Trade well,

Thomas Sutton, Editor

Note: You will find more about this important subject in the following articles on our website:

https://prorightline.com/index.php/rightline-risk-control-system/

https://www.rightline.net/education/PlanningaTrade.html

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                           "QUICK LIST"
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Stock     01/31     01/31      Buy      Short   Trailing Stops     Gain 
Symbol    Price      +/-      Entry     Entry   Initial/Tighten   Amount 
------  --------  --------  --------  --------  ---------------  --------

DADA      13.01      0.23     13.63                  1.61/0.81       2.7
XOM      116.06      2.50                                    /         0
HES      150.16     -1.61     154.9    145.06        9.84/4.92      8.96
HAE       84.60      0.36     86.17                  5.64/2.82      5.38
ITOS      20.90      0.51     21.32     19.72          1.6/0.8       2.1


The "Quick List" provides a brief summary of each stock write-up and should be taken in the context of the related write-up presented in the "Stocks Covered in This Issue" section of this Report.

Be sure to read "How To Use The RightLine Quick List" at https://prorightline.com/index.php/rightline-report-quick-list/. In addition,always use the RightLine Risk Calculator before entering any position. For access to the Risk Calculator, go to https://prorightline.com/index.php/risk-calculator/.

To learn more about controlling risk go to the RightLine Risk Control System at https://prorightline.com/index.php/rightline-risk-control-system/

For a glossary of terms unique to The RightLine Report go to: https://prorightline.com/index.php/glossary/

Questions? Send us an email using our contact form at: https://prorightline.com/index.php/contact-us/
 
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                           MARKET SUMMARY
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The major US stock indexes were higher on Tuesday as the market awaits Wednesday's monetary policy decision from the Federal Reserve Bank. Traders anticipate the Fed downshifting to a 25-basis point rate hike after four consecutive 75-basis point increases in June through November, followed by a 50-basis point increase in December. Economic news included a lower than expected Employment Cost Index, a smaller than anticipated drop in November home prices, an unexpected dip in January consumer confidence, and a manufacturing activity decline in the Chicago region. In the earnings department, Pfizer (PFE $44) topped analysts' forecasts but issued disappointing guidance, UPS (UPS $185) also posted excellent earnings and announced a new quarterly dividend, McDonald's (MCD $267) beat profit estimates, and Caterpillar (CAT $252) fell short of projections due to an unfavorable foreign currency situation. The USD/dollar and treasury yields were higher, oil prices and gold were lower.


                       Jan 30, 2023           Jan 31, 2023   
                  --------------------   --------------------
Dow                 33,717.09  -260.99     34,086.04   368.95
Nasdaq              11,393.81  -227.90     11,584.55   190.74
S&P 500              4,017.77   -52.79      4,076.60    58.83

NYSE Volume                      3.82B                  4.72B
NYSE Advancers                     983                  2,636
NYSE Decliners                   2,092                    478

Nasdaq Volume                    5.13B                  5.73B
Nasdaq Advancers                 1,506                  3,495
Nasdaq Decliners                 3,120                  1,114

                                 New Highs/Lows

                   01/24  01/25  01/26  01/27  01/30  01/31
                 --------------------------------------------
NYSE New Highs        98     70    117    115     66    104
NYSE New Lows         25     13     11      6      8      4
Nasdaq New Highs     113     97    124    127     89    138
Nasdaq New Lows       35     43     42     40     20     31

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                              TRADER'S TIP:  
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TRADER'S TIP: "Consistency and Discipline"

. . . He (Richard Dennis) placed classified ads proclaiming 'trader wanted,' he got some 1,000 responses from people eager to learn his methods. He settled on fewer than two dozen novices--among them two professional gamblers and a fantasy-game designer--and after a two-week training program, he gave them money to trade under his firm's auspices. Several went on to become top commodity-fund managers, including Jerry Parker of Chesapeake Capital Corp., who now manages more than US$1 billion. 'It was sink or swim. Sort of an experiment,' recalls Parker, a former accountant. Dennis ran the training, Parker says, 'because he wanted to have a certain chunk of money traded using systematic rules' while he went on and tried out new techniques.

~ Business Week

"The key is consistency and discipline. Almost anybody can come up with a list of rules that are 80% as good as what we taught. What they can't do is give people the confidence to stick to those rules even when things are going bad."

~ Richard Dennis
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                         THE TECHNICAL ANALYST
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This section contains important technical data for the three major market averages -- the S&P 500, the Nasdaq Comp Index, and the Dow Industrial Average.

For guidance on how to use this information, go to: https://prorightline.com/index.php/technical-analyst-section-rightline-report/
S&P 500 - 4076.60 January 31, 2023

52-Week High: 4637.30
52-Week Low: 3491.58
Daily Trend: UP
Weekly trend: UP
Weekly Pivot Levels
Resistance 3: 4328.24
Resistance 2: 4183.09
Resistance 1: 4126.82
Pivot: 4037.94
Support 1: 3981.67
Support 2: 3892.79
Support 3: 3747.64
https://www.prorightline.com/rlch/013123SPX.jpg
NASDAQ Composite - 11584.55 January 31, 2023 52-Week High: 14646.90 52-Week Low: 10088.83 Daily Trend: UP Weekly trend: UP Weekly Pivot Levels Resistance 3: 12706.34 Resistance 2: 12083.63 Resistance 1: 11852.67 Pivot: 11460.92 Support 1: 11229.96 Support 2: 10838.21 Support 3: 10215.50
Dow Industrials - 34086.04 January 31, 2023 52-Week High: 35824.28 52-Week Low: 28660.94 Daily Trend: UP Weekly trend: UP Weekly Pivot Levels Resistance 3: 35587.44 Resistance 2: 34696.32 Resistance 1: 34337.20 Pivot: 33805.20 Support 1: 33446.08 Support 2: 32914.08 Support 3: 32022.96
************************** MARKET CALENDAR **************************
--ECONOMIC REPORTS AND EVENTS (all times are Eastern):
Monday, January 30, 2023:
30-Jan          None scheduled

Tuesday, January 31, 2023:
31-Jan  8:30 am   Employment cost index
31-Jan   9 am   
31-Jan   9 am   FHFA home price index (SAAR)
31-Jan  9:45 am   Chicago business barometer
31-Jan  10 am   Consumer confidence index
31-Jan  10 am   Rental vacancy rate

Wednesday, February 01, 2023:
01-Feb  8:15 am   ADP employment report
01-Feb  9:45 am   
01-Feb  10 am   ISM manufacturing index
01-Feb  10 am   Job openings
01-Feb  10 am   Quits
01-Feb  10 am   Construction spending
01-Feb   2 pm   Federal funds rate
01-Feb   2 pm   Federal funds projection
01-Feb  2:30 pm   Fed Chair Jerome Powell news conference
01-Feb  Varies   Motor vehicle sales (SAAR)

Thursday, February 02, 2023:
02-Feb  8:30 am   Initial jobless claims
02-Feb  8:30 am   Continuing jobless claims
02-Feb  8:30 am   Productivity, first estimate (SAAR)
02-Feb  8:30 am   Unit labor costs, first estimate (SAAR)
02-Feb  10 am   Factory orders
02-Feb  8:30 am   Core capital goods orders

Friday, February 03, 2023:
03-Feb  8:30 am   Nonfarm payrolls
03-Feb  8:30 am   Unemployment rate
03-Feb  8:30 am   Average hourly earnings
03-Feb  8:30 am   Labor-force participation rate, 25-54 year-olds
03-Feb  9:45 am   
03-Feb  10 am   ISM services index


For a chart of typical Up or Down market reactions to specific major US economic reports, go to "Economic Indicator Effects" at this link: https://prorightline.com/index.php/economic-indicator-effects/
 
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                              TRADER'S TIP: 
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TRADER'S TIP: "Price Action Near Support And Resistance"

It pays to keep an eye on support and resitance lines. One of the best low-risk buy signals takes place when price dips below a significant support line, then comes back up and closes above it. In the same fashion, an excellent shorting opportunity is provided when price rises marginally above a clear resistance line, then reverses to close below it.

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                      STOCKS COVERED IN THIS ISSUE    
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CONSUMER CYCLICAL SECTOR

Dada Nexus Limited (DADA: Consumer Cyclical/Internet Retail) - NEW HIGH DIP. New highs always reflect stocks that are doing exceptionally well. This is the case with DADA, which has pulled back a bit after setting a new 52-week high just a few days ago. Tuesday's bounce from Moving Average support tells us this stock may be ready to move back up to blue sky territory. DADA now rests at 13.01, and we're anticipating a move up to our BUY trigger at 13.63. Be ready to buy shares at that point and follow your entry with a 1.61 trailing stop. Decrease the stop to 0.81 on a 2.7 gain. Earnings Report Date: Mar 06, 2023. Beta: 0.98. Market-Cap: 3.325B. Optionable.

ENERGY SECTOR

Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM: Energy/Oil & Gas Integrated) - NEW HIGH DIP. XOM is still showing the bullish strength that gave this stock a new 12-month high just a few days ago. Tuesday's intra-day price action near moving average support tells us that another run to the high-mark may be in the works. Get ready to BUY shares if XOM reaches our trigger price of , and enter a trailing stop. The stop can be resized to once you have a 0 profit. XOM closed Tuesday at 116.06. Earnings Report Date: Jan 31, 2023. Beta: 1.10. Market-Cap: 477.969B. Optionable.

Hess Corporation (HES: Energy/Oil & Gas E&P) - SQUEEZE PLAY. When a stock's daily price range contracts to an unusually low point, you can safely assume that in most cases a breakout from that range will result in a nice price move. To capture a portion of this potential movement we have set both a long and a short entry into HES. A move to the upside will trigger our BUY entry at 154.9, while a drop to 145.06 will trigger our SELL short entry. Follow your position with a 9.84 trailing stop. Tighten the stop to 4.92 once you have a 8.96 gain. HES closed Tuesday at 150.16. Earnings Report Date: Apr 25, 2023. Beta: 1.58. Market-Cap: 46.296B. Optionable.

HEALTHCARE SECTOR

Haemonetics Corporation (HAE: Healthcare/Medical Instruments & Supplies) - NEW HIGH DIP. Tuesday's price action is telling us that HAE is preparing to move back up to the 52-week high that was set just a few days ago. Our BUY trigger at 86.17 is ready to take advantage of a likely bounce from the current support level. Once your order is filled, enter a trailing stop of 5.64. Resize the stop to 2.82 after you reach a 5.38 profit. Earnings Report Date: Feb 07, 2023. Beta: 0.37. Market-Cap: 4.281B. Optionable.

iTeos Therapeutics, Inc. (ITOS: Healthcare/Biotechnology) - SQUEEZE PLAY. One interesting trait of price volatility is that it cycles back and forth through periods of expansion and contraction. Stocks that have recently seen their daily price range shift from an average or wide range to an extremely contracted state are ideal candidates for expansive price moves. In many cases the next move is relatively fast and covers a sizable amount of territory. To take advantage of these trades we use both a BUY and a SELL entry. This allows us to enter in whichever direction the breakout takes. In ITOS's case we will enter a BUY should it reach the 21.32 level, or a SELL short trade if it drops to 19.72. As usual a trailing stop is essential, 1.6 which should be tightened to 0.8 on a 2.1 gain. ITOS closed Tuesday at 20.90. Earnings Report Date: Mar 21, 2023. Beta: 1.38. Market-Cap: 743.524M. Optionable.


IMPORTANT: Before entering any recommended positions, always use the RightLine "Risk Control System" to determine the level of acceptable risk and the maximum number of shares to buy.
Link: https://prorightline.com/index.php/rightline-risk-control-system/

Use "Gap Adjusted Entries" to reset the Entry Price for stocks that gap beyond recommended entry levels.
Link: https://prorightline.com/index.php/gap-adjusted-entries-increase-profits/

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                           STOCK SPLIT SUMMARY
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Below are the stocks that have announced splits and have recently executed or will execute soon. There is generally a return to normal price behavior in the weeks following a split announcement in what we call a "Dormancy Phase." As the stock nears its split execution date it often moves into the "Pre-Split Run" stage where quick and sometimes dramatic gains can occur.
                             Announce     Eff.       Split
Company Name     (Symbol)      Date       Date       Ratio   Options  
---------------- -------     --------    -------     ------  -------   

NOTE: The number of stock split announcments goes up during Bull markets, 
and goes down during Bear market cycles. There are currently no upcoming 
stock splits that meet RightLine's proprietary criteria for split ratio, 
trading volume and price action.  

For a closer look at the different stages of a Stock Split go to: https://prorightline.com/index.php/trading-stock-splits-stages/
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Best of luck and have a Great Week!
 
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