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January 28, 2020 - The RightLine Report
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NOTES FROM THE EDITOR
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"Think education is expensive? Try ignorance." RightLine took this bit of wisdom to heart in 1997 and turned it into a company trademark.
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"QUICK LIST"
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Stock 01/28 01/28 Buy Short Trailing Stops Gain
Symbol Price +/- Entry Entry Initial/Tighten Amount
------ -------- -------- -------- -------- --------------- --------
SIG 26.24 0.50 26.95 24.96 1.99/0.99 2.14
PTON 31.38 0.13 32.07 29.65 2.42/1.21 3.48
PETS 25.13 0.32 25.71 23.94 1.77/0.89 1.36
LSCC 21.20 0.36 21.70 20.23 1.47/0.73 1.60
The "Quick List" provides a brief summary of each stock write-up and should be taken in the context of the related write-up presented in the "Stocks Covered in This Issue" section of this Report. Be sure to read "How To Use The RightLine Quick List" at www.rightline.net/education/using-quicklist.html. In addition,always use the RightLine Risk Calculator before entering any position. For access to the Risk Calculator, go to www.RightLine.net and login to the Member's area. To learn more about controlling risk go to the RightLine Risk Control System at http://www.rightline.net/education/riskcontrol.html For a glossary of terms unique to The RightLine Report go to: http://www.rightline.net/education/glossary.html Problems? If you have any difficulty viewing this report, the link below will take you to a page where you will find a list of items that may affect normal viewing within your email client. http://www.rightline.net/home/reportprob.html Questions? Send us an email using our contact form at: http://www.rightline.net/home/contact.html
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MARKET SUMMARY
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US stocks rebounded on Tuesday to close higher following a round of domestic economic news that included the highest consumer confidence reading since August 2019. Also in the mix was a bigger increase in durable goods orders than predicted, a larger than expected gain in home prices and a positive surge in manufacturing activity. In earnings news, United Technologies (UTX $154) and 3M Company (MMM $166) both announced upbeat results for the fourth quarter, yet unimpressive guidance from 3M put pressure on the stock price. Harley Davidson (HOG $34) and Pfizer (PFE $38) disappointed investers with results that fell short of expectations. Gold and treasuries were lower, the USD/dollar closed near even and oil ended the session higher. Jan 27, 2020 Jan 28, 2020
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Dow 28,536 -453.93 28,723 +187.05
Nasdaq 9,139 -175.60 9,269.68 +130.37
S&P 500 3,244 -51.84 3,276 +32.61
NYSE Volume 3.90B 3.56B
NYSE Advancers 620 2018
NYSE Decliners 2331 891
Nasdaq Volume 2.63B 2.17B
Nasdaq Advancers 763 2168
Nasdaq Decliners 2484 1003
New Highs/Lows
01/21 01/22 01/23 01/24 01/27 01/28
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NYSE New Highs 259 309 202 238 111 144
NYSE New Lows 27 29 45 63 102 57
Nasdaq New Highs 234 272 145 196 78 85
Nasdaq New Lows 42 39 44 60 96 42
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TRADER'S TIP:
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TRADER'S TIP: "Trading Twenty-four Seven?" Smart traders pick their spots. You don't have to trade continuously, nor should you. Being prepared for an opportunity means knowing about it in advance, which means staying informed - even when you aren't holding a position. **************************
THE TECHNICAL ANALYST
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This section contains important technical data for the three major market averages -- the S&P 500, the Nasdaq Comp Index, and the Dow Industrial Average. For guidance on how to use this information, go to: www.rightline.net/education/how_to_use_rlr_technical_analyst.html. S&P 500 - 3276.24 January 28, 2020
52-Week High: 3337.77
52-Week Low: 2648.34
Daily Trend: DOWN
Weekly trend: UP
Weekly Pivot Levels
Resistance 3: 3417.40
Resistance 2: 3361.16
Resistance 1: 3328.31
Pivot: 3304.92
Support 1: 3272.07
Support 2: 3248.68
Support 3: 3192.44
http://www.rightline.net/rlch/012820SPX.jpg
NASDAQ Composite - 9269.68 January 28, 2020
52-Week High: 9451.43
52-Week Low: 7011.47
Daily Trend: DOWN
Weekly trend: UP
Weekly Pivot Levels
Resistance 3: 9702.92
Resistance 2: 9524.72
Resistance 1: 9419.81
Pivot: 9346.52
Support 1: 9241.61
Support 2: 9168.32
Support 3: 8990.12
Dow Industrials - 28722.85 January 28, 2020
52-Week High: 29373.62
52-Week Low: 24504.04
Daily Trend: DOWN
Weekly trend: UP
Weekly Pivot Levels
Resistance 3: 30129.45
Resistance 2: 29599.17
Resistance 1: 29294.45
Pivot: 29068.88
Support 1: 28764.16
Support 2: 28538.59
Support 3: 28008.30
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MARKET CALENDAR
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--ECONOMIC REPORTS AND EVENTS (all times are Eastern):
Monday, January 27, 2020: 27-Jan 10 am New home sales Tuesday, January 28, 2020: NONE Wednesday, January 29, 2020: 05-Aug 8:30 am Durable goods orders 05-Aug 8:30 am Core capital goods orders 05-Aug 9 am Case-Shiller home prices 05-Aug 10 am Consumer confidence index 29-Jan 8:30 am Advance trade in goods 29-Jan 10 am Pending home sales index 29-Jan 2 pm FOMC announcement 29-Jan 2:30p;m Jerome Powell press conference Thursday, January 30, 2020: 30-Jan 8:30 am Weekly jobless claims 30-Jan 8:30 am GDP Friday, January 31, 2020: 31-Jan 8:30 am Employment cost index 31-Jan 8:30 am Personal income 31-Jan 8:30 am Consumer spending 31-Jan 8:30 am Core price index 31-Jan 9:45 am Chicago PMI 31-Jan 10 am Consumer sentiment index For a chart of typical Up or Down market reactions to specific major US economic reports, go to "Economic Indicator Effects" at this link: http://www.rightline.net/education/economic.html
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TRADER'S TIP:
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TRADER'S TIP: "Hurry, Hurry, Step Right Up!" Don't pay much attention to all the hype from brokerage analysts or the business media. Brokerage firms usually have more than just a casual interest in stocks they tout, and many times so does the media. ***********************************
STOCKS COVERED IN THIS ISSUE
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CONSUMER CYCLICAL SECTOR Signet Jewelers Limited (SIG: Consumer Cyclical/Luxury Goods) - SQUEEZE PLAY. SIG is caught in a dilemma. The stock's compressed price range on Tuesday has resulted in a condition comparable to a wound up rubber band. We anticipate that this undecided equity will take off soon, but with the direction still in question we'll let upcoming market action tell us whether to buy shares or sell short. SIG is now at 26.24. We can capture price action either way by placing a BUY trigger at 26.95 and a SELL short trigger at 24.96. Once SIG reveals its direction, enter your triggered order and disregard the other one. As soon as your position is in place, follow up with a trailing stop of 1.99. When you acquire a 2.14 profit, tighten the stop to 0.99. Earnings Report Date: Mar 31, 2020. Beta: 1.10. Market-Cap: 1.374B. Optionable. Peloton Interactive, Inc. (PTON: Consumer Cyclical/Leisure) - SQUEEZE PLAY. One interesting trait of price volatility is that it cycles back and forth through periods of expansion and contraction. Stocks that have recently seen their daily price range shift from an average or wide range to an extremely contracted state are ideal candidates for expansive price moves. In many cases the next move is relatively fast and covers a sizable amount of territory. To take advantage of these trades we use both a BUY and a SELL entry. This allows us to enter in whichever direction the breakout takes. In PTON's case we will enter a BUY should it reach the 32.07 level, or a SELL short trade if it drops to 29.65. As usual a trailing stop is essential, 2.42 which should be tightened to 1.21 on a 3.48 gain. PTON closed Tuesday at 31.38. Earnings Report Date: Feb 04, 2020. Beta: N/A. Market-Cap: 8.803B. Optionable. HEALTHCARE SECTOR PetMed Express, Inc. (PETS: Healthcare/Pharmaceutical Retailers) - SQUEEZE PLAY. When a stock's daily price range contracts to an unusually low point, you can safely assume that in most cases a breakout from that range will result in a nice price move. To capture a portion of this potential movement we have set both a long and a short entry into PETS. A move to the upside will trigger our BUY entry at 25.71, while a drop to 23.94 will trigger our SELL short entry. Follow your position with a 1.77 trailing stop. Tighten the stop to 0.89 once you have a 1.36 gain. PETS closed Tuesday at 25.13. Earnings Report Date: N/A. Beta: 0.62. Market-Cap: 506.772M. Optionable. TECHNOLOGY SECTOR Lattice Semiconductor Corporation (LSCC: Technology/Semiconductors) - SQUEEZE PLAY. Tuesday's trading action forced LSCC's daily price range into an abnormally narrow state. This translates into opportunity; for the cyclical nature of price volatility is to shrink extensively, then swell rapidly as shares move in one direction or another. Instead of trying to predict the direction LSCC will take when price volatility begins to increase, we'll set both a BUY (long) and a SELL (short) trigger to get us into the right trade. Be ready to BUY shares at 21.70 if LSCC moves higher, and place your order to SELL short at 20.23 if price declines to that level. As usual follow your entry with a trailing stop, 1.47 should be sufficient. Reduce your stop to 0.73 on a 1.60 gain. LSCC closed Tuesday at 21.20. Earnings Report Date: Feb 09, 2020. Beta: 1.30. Market-Cap: 2.831B. Optionable. IMPORTANT: Before entering any recommended positions, always use the RightLine "Risk Control System" to determine the level of acceptable risk and the maximum number of shares to buy. Link: http://www.rightline.net/education/riskcontrol.html Use "Gap Adjusted Entries" to reset the Entry Price for stocks that gap beyond recommended entry levels. Link: http://www.rightline.net/education/gap-adjusted.html ***********************************
STOCK SPLIT SUMMARY
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Below are the stocks that have announced splits and have recently executed or will execute soon. There is generally a return to normal price behavior in the weeks following a split announcement in what we call a "Dormancy Phase." As the stock nears its split execution date it often moves into the "Pre-Split Run" stage where quick and sometimes dramatic gains can occur. Announce Eff. Split Company Name (Symbol) Date Date Ratio Options ---------------- ------- -------- ------- ------ ------- Currently there are no upcoming stock splits on the major US exchanges. For a closer look at the different stages of a Stock Split go to: http://www.rightline.net/splits/index.html/#split-stages ======================================================================
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