February 25, 2020 - The RightLine Report ********************************** NOTES FROM THE EDITOR **********************************
I've noticed that the Weather Channel and other cable media present a lot of programming about tornados. Many who have experienced one of these ferocious swirling storms say the noise is deafening. The best description I've heard is that it sounds like you're standing next to the railroad tracks while a freight train roars by.
*********************************** "QUICK LIST" *********************************** Stock 02/25 02/25 Buy Short Trailing Stops Gain Symbol Price +/- Entry Entry Initial/Tighten Amount ------ -------- -------- -------- -------- --------------- -------- ALEC 27.39 0.04 28.64 26.23 2.41/1.21 4.84 APRE 35.00 -1.38 37.19 33.06 4.13/2.06 5.20 CNST 37.08 -0.27 38.30 35.73 2.57/1.28 3.96 COHU 21.63 0.04 22.40 20.85 1.55/0.78 2.04 The "Quick List" provides a brief summary of each stock write-up and should be taken in the context of the related write-up presented in the "Stocks Covered in This Issue" section of this Report. Be sure to read "How To Use The RightLine Quick List" at www.rightline.net/education/using-quicklist.html. In addition,always use the RightLine Risk Calculator before entering any position. For access to the Risk Calculator, go to www.RightLine.net and login to the Member's area. To learn more about controlling risk go to the RightLine Risk Control System at http://www.rightline.net/education/riskcontrol.html For a glossary of terms unique to The RightLine Report go to: http://www.rightline.net/education/glossary.html Problems? If you have any difficulty viewing this report, the link below will take you to a page where you will find a list of items that may affect normal viewing within your email client. http://www.rightline.net/home/reportprob.html Questions? Send us an email using our contact form at: http://www.rightline.net/home/contact.html ***************************** MARKET SUMMARY ***************************** US and global stocks closed solidly lower on Tuesday as concern about the health and economic impact of the coronavirus prompted traders to sell positions. Economic news didn't help matters, as regional manufacturing activity dropped into contraction territory and Consumer Confidence fell short of predictions. In equities, Intuit (INTU $284) and Home Depot (HD $237) announced upbeat earnings results, while Moderna (MRNA $24) shares shot up more than 25% after the company shipped the first batch of its coronavirus vaccine to US government researchers for human clinical trials. Gold, oil, treasuries and the USD/dollar all finished lower. Feb 24, 2020 Feb 25, 2020 -------------------- -------------------- Dow 27,961 -1,032 27,081 -879.44 Nasdaq 9,221.28 -355.31 8,965.61 -255.67 S&P 500 3,226 -111.86 3,128 -97.68 NYSE Volume 4.93B 5.68B NYSE Advancers 295 285 NYSE Decliners 2700 2714 Nasdaq Volume 3.21B 3.62B Nasdaq Advancers 470 456 Nasdaq Decliners 2824 2826 New Highs/Lows 02/18 02/19 02/20 02/21 02/24 02/25 -------------------------------------------- NYSE New Highs 241 252 236 176 86 52 NYSE New Lows 75 59 61 87 245 367 Nasdaq New Highs 200 279 216 129 74 64 Nasdaq New Lows 63 59 53 67 185 244 *********************************** TRADER'S TIP: *********************************** TRADER'S TIP: "Invest In Learning" Someone once said that "Good judgment comes from experience, and experience comes from bad judgment." Humorous, yes, and often true. Just be aware that there is more than one way to benefit from "experience." All of us have learned some things the hard way. This is the most common method of learning - make a mistake, and pay for it. Thankfully, there is a better way - gaining good judgment from the experiences of OTHERS! Learning from the mistakes and successes of other traders is far superior to unintentionally investing in over-priced lessons of our own. ************************** THE TECHNICAL ANALYST ************************** This section contains important technical data for the three major market averages -- the S&P 500, the Nasdaq Comp Index, and the Dow Industrial Average. For guidance on how to use this information, go to: www.rightline.net/education/how_to_use_rlr_technical_analyst.html. S&P 500 - 3128.21 February 25, 2020 52-Week High: 3393.52 52-Week Low: 2722.27 Daily Trend: DOWN Weekly trend: UP http://www.rightline.net/rlch/022520SPX.jpg NASDAQ Composite - 8965.61 February 25, 2020 52-Week High: 9838.37 52-Week Low: 7292.22 Daily Trend: DOWN Weekly trend: UP Dow Industrials - 27081.36 February 25, 2020 52-Week High: 29568.57 52-Week Low: 24680.57 Daily Trend: DOWN Weekly trend: UP ************************** MARKET CALENDAR **************************--ECONOMIC REPORTS AND EVENTS (all times are Eastern): Monday, February 24, 2020: 24-Feb 8;30 am Chicago Fed national activity index Tuesday, February 25, 2020: 25-Feb 9 am Case-Shiller home price index 25-Feb 9 am FHFA home price index 25-Feb 10 am Consumer confidence index Wednesday, February 26, 2020: 26-Feb 10 am New home sales Thursday, February 27, 2020: 27-Feb 8:30 am Weekly jobless claims 27-Feb 8:30 am GDP 27-Feb 8:30 am Durable goods orders 27-Feb 8:30 am Core capital goods orders Friday, February 28, 2020: 28-Feb 8:30 am Advance trade in goods 28-Feb 8:30 am Personal income 28-Feb 8:30 am Consumer spending 28-Feb 8:30 am Core inflation 28-Feb 9:45 am Chicago PMI 28-Feb 10 am Consumer sentiment index For a chart of typical Up or Down market reactions to specific major US economic reports, go to "Economic Indicator Effects" at this link: http://www.rightline.net/education/economic.html *********************************** TRADER'S TIP: *********************************** TRADER'S TIP: "Right or Wrong" Traders who follow trading plans that include risk management are never actually "wrong." If price moves against a position, we just execute the planned stop and move on. Experienced traders don't look at this as being "right" or "wrong" - it's just part of the job of trading. *********************************** STOCKS COVERED IN THIS ISSUE *********************************** HEALTHCARE SECTOR Alector, Inc. (ALEC: Healthcare/Biotechnology) - SQUEEZE PLAY. The struggle between buyers and sellers has resulted in ALEC's narrowest trading range of the past seven sessions. With neither group able to take complete control on Tuesday, the stock's short term destiny is up for grabs. You can capitalize on this unusually tight condition by placing both a BUY order at 28.64 and a SELL order at 26.23. Regardless of which order is triggered, cancel the other one and follow your entry with a 2.41 trailing stop. Tighten the stop to 1.21 once you have a 4.84 gain. ALEC closed Tuesday at 27.39. Earnings Report Date: N/A. Beta: N/A. Market-Cap: 2.154B. Optionable. Aprea Therapeutics, Inc. (APRE: Healthcare/Biotechnology) - SQUEEZE PLAY. In certain stocks a tightly constricted price range is a sign that neither bulls nor bears are confident of winning in the near term. This often means that the side that gives up first causes a quick move in the opposite direction. In these fear dominated skirmishes, opposing traders always benefit from the retreat. In the Squeeze Play setup you can actually play both sides of the inevitable surge. APRE traders reached this state of stand-off on Tuesday with the tightest range of the past seven days. You can take advantage of their efforts by placing a low risk BUY trigger at 37.19 and a SELL short trigger at 33.06. After one of the two orders is filled, cancel the un-triggered order and place a trailing stop at 4.13 which can be tightened to 2.06 on a 5.20 gain. APRE closed Tuesday at 35.00. Earnings Report Date: N/A. Beta: N/A. Market-Cap: 734.668M. Not Optionable. Constellation Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (CNST: Healthcare/Biotechnology) - SQUEEZE PLAY. CNST traders on both sides of the fence are now locked in a head-to-head shootout. Tuesday's price range was the narrowest in over a week, as neither Bears or Bulls have been able to clearly gain the upper hand. This gives us an opportunity to catch the next directional move with little risk of loss. To do this we'll place both a long and a short trigger with a BUY at 38.30 and a SELL short trigger at 35.73. When one of the orders is filled, cancel the remaining order and enter a 2.57 trailing stop. When you've reached a 3.96 paper profit, tighten the stop to 1.28. CNST closed at 37.08 on Tuesday. Earnings Report Date: Mar 11, 2020. Beta: N/A. Market-Cap: 1.521B. Optionable. TECHNOLOGY SECTOR Cohu, Inc. (COHU: Technology/Semiconductor Equipment & Materials) - SQUEEZE PLAY. Trader indecision has put COHU squarely in the center of a Bull versus Bear standoff. This tight spot should soon give way to a clear winner in the short-term, and we want to be in position for the move. To do that we've set a BUY entry at 22.40 and a SELL short entry at 20.85. Now it's up to COHU to show us which entry will be filled. Once the trade is underway place a 1.55 trailing stop, which can be tightened to 0.78 after you achieve a 2.04 profit. COHU closed on Tuesday at 21.63. Earnings Report Date: May 03, 2020. Beta: 1.56. Market-Cap: 892.592M. Optionable. IMPORTANT: Before entering any recommended positions, always use the RightLine "Risk Control System" to determine the level of acceptable risk and the maximum number of shares to buy. Link: http://www.rightline.net/education/riskcontrol.html Use "Gap Adjusted Entries" to reset the Entry Price for stocks that gap beyond recommended entry levels. Link: http://www.rightline.net/education/gap-adjusted.html *********************************** STOCK SPLIT SUMMARY *********************************** Below are the stocks that have announced splits and have recently executed or will execute soon. There is generally a return to normal price behavior in the weeks following a split announcement in what we call a "Dormancy Phase." As the stock nears its split execution date it often moves into the "Pre-Split Run" stage where quick and sometimes dramatic gains can occur. Announce Eff. Split Company Name (Symbol) Date Date Ratio Options ---------------- ------- -------- ------- ------ ------- Currently there are no upcoming stock splits on the major US exchanges. 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