August 31, 2023 - The RightLine Report

 
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                      NOTES FROM THE EDITOR
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"Price Momentum" is a term often employed to refer to a trading approach centered on stocks that are exhibiting strong movement in one direction along with high trading volume. This strategy, commonly known as momentum trading, places limited emphasis, if any, on evaluating a company's fundamentals. Traders who adhere to this method are aware that stocks demonstrating clear trends are more likely to sustain their trajectory compared to stocks that lack such trends.

It's safe to say that many of us engage in momentum trading to some extent. Those who grasp the concept of price momentum and adhere to the adage "the trend is your friend" would likely concur. However, momentum trading is just one among several strategies at our disposal for generating profit.

As an illustration, just as the momentum play hinges on the sound trading principles of momentum and trend, the Squeeze Play strategy is rooted in the principle of volatility expansion. Volatility tends to alternate between phases of contraction and expansion in a repetitive manner. When the contraction phase ends and the expansion phase ensues, it's generally reasonable to anticipate that the expansion will persist long enough to capitalize on the resulting price movement.

Successful traders may have differing opinions on selecting the best stocks or choosing entry techniques. Nonetheless, most, if not all, prosperous traders adopt methodologies underpinned by effective risk management.

Regardless of the terminology used, a consistently lucrative trading approach is indeed a commendable one. Some investors might look down upon others, asserting that their method is the sole effective approach. This is an area where it's important to maintain an open-minded perspective. Holding biases against various types of investing and trading could lead us to overlook potentially profitable strategies that often derive from solid market principles.

Wishing you successful trading,

Thomas Sutton, Editor

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                           "QUICK LIST"
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Stock     08/31     08/31      Buy      Short   Trailing Stops     Gain 
Symbol    Price      +/-      Entry     Entry   Initial/Tighten   Amount 
------  --------  --------  --------  --------  ---------------  --------

PLCE      26.51      0.36     26.93     24.98        1.95/0.98         3
GNLX      24.18     -0.71     25.63     23.29        2.34/1.17         5
TWST      21.99      0.31     22.57     21.01        1.56/0.78      2.66
RYTM      26.01     -0.03     26.73        25        1.73/0.87      2.88
CSIQ      28.01     -0.28               27.14        1.96/0.98      1.86


The "Quick List" provides a brief summary of each stock write-up and should be taken in the context of the related write-up presented in the "Stocks Covered in This Issue" section of this Report.

Be sure to read "How To Use The RightLine Quick List" at https://prorightline.com/index.php/rightline-report-quick-list/. In addition,always use the RightLine Risk Calculator before entering any position. For access to the Risk Calculator, go to https://prorightline.com/index.php/risk-calculator/.

To learn more about controlling risk go to the RightLine Risk Control System at https://prorightline.com/index.php/rightline-risk-control-system/

For a glossary of terms unique to The RightLine Report go to: https://prorightline.com/index.php/glossary/

Questions? Send us an email using our contact form at: https://prorightline.com/index.php/contact-us/
 
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                           MARKET SUMMARY
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Thursday saw a mixed performance in US equities as investors welcomed a moderate update on inflation, all the while preparing for a potentially impactful jobs report scheduled for Friday, just before the start of a three-day weekend. Among the indices, the Nasdaq Composite (COMP) stood out, edging up to reach a four-week high. Concurrently, Treasury yields, which had surged towards the end of July, receded to near three-week lows.

The month of August proved to be a bit of a roller coaster for the equities markets as investors grappled with a variety of factors including earnings reports, concerns regarding inflation, interest rates, and the resurgence of Treasury yields. At a certain point, the S&P 500 Index (SPX) had slipped by as much as 5.5% from its late July peak. However, it has since rebounded as certain potential sources of concern have evolved.

In the early hours of Thursday, government data revealed that the Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) index increased by 0.2% in July compared to the previous month, a pace consistent with June's rate and in line with analyst expectations. The core rate, which excludes food and energy prices, mirrored this increase. The PCE index serves as the Federal Reserve's favored gauge of inflation. Notably, this moderation occurred despite a notable rise in household spending during the same month.

This recent PCE data adds to a string of recent figures, including softer-than-anticipated job numbers and consumer confidence metrics earlier in the week. These numbers collectively suggest that the economy is cooling down after the remarkable inflation surge experienced last summer.

Investors are growing increasingly convinced that the Federal Reserve's campaign of interest rate hikes aimed at curbing inflation might be reaching its conclusion. The next item on the horizon is the Labor Department's upcoming nonfarm payrolls report for August, scheduled for release on Friday.


                       Aug 30, 2023           Aug 31, 2023   
                  --------------------   --------------------
Dow                 34,890.24    37.57     34,721.91  -168.33
Nasdaq              14,019.31    75.55     14,034.97    15.66
S&P 500              4,514.87    17.24      4,507.66    -7.21

NYSE Volume                      3.07B                     4B
NYSE Advancers                   1,747                  1,375
NYSE Decliners                   1,120                  1,526

Nasdaq Volume                    4.38B                  4.61B
Nasdaq Advancers                 2,390                  1,917
Nasdaq Decliners                 1,919                  2,428

                                 New Highs/Lows

                   08/24  08/25  08/28  08/29  08/30  08/31
                 --------------------------------------------
NYSE New Highs        32     25     50     65     98     78
NYSE New Lows         75     66     22     25     18     20
Nasdaq New Highs      46     33     69     69     83     90
Nasdaq New Lows      227    212    176    130     81    104

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                              TRADER'S TIP:  
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TRADER'S TIP: "Positive Returns"

In one sense risk can be defined as the events or conditions that discourage traders - so much that they sometimes abandon strategies that have the potential to produce high returns. This is the main reason to use Risk Control. With a planned risk management strategy, situations and events that discourage others have little or no negative effect on you. This means while others are giving up, you remain focused on learning and earning, while protecting your capital. Over time, you become skillful at trading the markets and enjoy the positive returns others have abandoned.
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                         THE TECHNICAL ANALYST
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This section contains important technical data for the three major market averages -- the S&P 500, the Nasdaq Comp Index, and the Dow Industrial Average.

For guidance on how to use this information, go to: https://prorightline.com/index.php/technical-analyst-section-rightline-report/
S&P 500 - 4507.66 August 31, 2023

52-Week High: 4607.07
52-Week Low: 3491.58
Daily Trend: UP
Weekly trend: DOWN
Weekly Pivot Levels
Resistance 3: 4610.78
Resistance 2: 4508.77
Resistance 1: 4457.24
Pivot: 4406.76
Support 1: 4355.23
Support 2: 4304.75
Support 3: 4202.74
https://www.prorightline.com/rlch/083123SPX.jpg
NASDAQ Composite - 14034.97 August 31, 2023 52-Week High: 14446.55 52-Week Low: 10088.83 Daily Trend: UP Weekly trend: DOWN Weekly Pivot Levels Resistance 3: 14601.84 Resistance 2: 14092.74 Resistance 1: 13841.69 Pivot: 13583.64 Support 1: 13332.59 Support 2: 13074.54 Support 3: 12565.44
Dow Industrials - 34721.91 August 31, 2023 52-Week High: 35679.13 52-Week Low: 28660.94 Daily Trend: UP Weekly trend: UP Weekly Pivot Levels Resistance 3: 35687.85 Resistance 2: 35022.39 Resistance 1: 34684.64 Pivot: 34356.93 Support 1: 34019.18 Support 2: 33691.47 Support 3: 33026.01
************************** MARKET CALENDAR **************************
--ECONOMIC REPORTS AND EVENTS (all times are Eastern):
Monday, August 28, 2023:
28-Aug          None scheduled

Tuesday, August 29, 2023:
29-Aug  9:00 am   S&P Case-Shiller home price index
29-Aug  10:00 am   Job openings
29-Aug  10:00 am   Consumer confidence

Wednesday, August 30, 2023:
30-Aug  8:15 am   ADP employment
30-Aug  8:30 am   GDP (revision)
30-Aug  8:30 am   Advanced U.S. trade balance in goods
30-Aug  8:30 am   Advanced retail inventories
30-Aug  8:30 am   Advanced wholesale inventories
30-Aug  10:00 am   Pending home sales

Thursday, August 31, 2023:
31-Aug  8:30 am   Initial jobless claims
31-Aug  8:30 am   Personal income (nominal)
31-Aug  8:30 am   Personal spending (nominal)
31-Aug  8:30 am   PCE index
31-Aug  8:30 am   Core PCE index
31-Aug  8:30 am   PCE (year-over-year)
31-Aug  8:30 am   Core PCE (year-over-year)
31-Aug  9:45 am   Chicago Business Barometer
31-Aug  10:00 am   

Friday, September 01, 2023:
01-Sep  8:30 am   U.S. nonfarm payroll
01-Sep  8:30 am   U.S. unemployment rate
01-Sep  8:30 am   U.S. hourly wages
01-Sep  8:30 am   Hourly wages year over year
01-Sep  10:00 am   ISM manufacturing
01-Sep  10:00 am   Construction spending


For a chart of typical Up or Down market reactions to specific major US economic reports, go to "Economic Indicator Effects" at this link: https://prorightline.com/index.php/economic-indicator-effects/
 
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                              TRADER'S TIP: 
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TRADER'S TIP: "Make Strength Your Ally"

Only a few traders have the financial strength to move individual low- volume stock prices in the direction they prefer, and no one is capable of consistently moving the entire market. Since this is the case, the best thing we can do is learn to identify and align our positions with the dominant side. Regardless of whether we trade 5-minute bars or weekly charts, whenever the balance shifts within our chosen time frame, we should always realign with the side of strength.

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                      STOCKS COVERED IN THIS ISSUE    
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CONSUMER CYCLICAL SECTOR

The Children's Place, Inc. (PLCE: Consumer Cyclical/Apparel Retail) - SQUEEZE PLAY. Traders are feeling the pressure as PLCE's intra-day price range on Thursday shrunk to the narrowest spread in over a week. The tension between buyers and sellers should provide enough pent-up engergy for a breakout move in the days ahead, so get ready to trade with the new trend. To achieve that, place a BUY entry at 26.93 and a SELL short entry at 24.98. PLCE's price movement will decide which entry is filled. As soon as you're in the trade, enter a 1.95 trailing stop. Tighten it to 0.98 after you get a 3 gain. PLCE closed Thursday at 26.51. Earnings Report Date: Nov 15, 2023. Beta: 2.18. Market-Cap: 330.76M. Optionable.

HEALTHCARE SECTOR

Genelux Corporation (GNLX: Healthcare/Biotechnology) - SQUEEZE PLAY. Thursday's trading session left GNLX in a very narrow price range after buyers and sellers fought to a near stalemate. Both sides are looking for some traction, and a breakout either way could provide a nice gain in the short term. To get aboard, set your BUY trigger at 25.63 and your SELL short trigger at 23.29. One of the orders will be triggered by upcoming price action. When your market order is filled, cancel the remaining trigger and enter a 2.34 trailing stop. Once you have a 5 profit, reduce the stop to 1.17. Earnings Report Date: N/A. Beta: N/A. Market-Cap: 633.103M. Not Optionable.

Twist Bioscience Corporation (TWST: Healthcare/Diagnostics & Research) - SQUEEZE PLAY. TWST is stuck in a Bull/Bear deadlock. Fortunately for traders this impasse should be resolved soon, with one side or the other taking control. We want to be positioned for a potential quick move up or down, so get ready to catch this train with a BUY entry at 22.57 and a SELL short entry at 21.01. Once your trade is filled, enter a 1.56 trailing stop. Tighten it to 0.78 after a 2.66 gain. TWST closed on Thursday at 21.99. Earnings Report Date: Nov 16, 2023. Beta: 1.25. Market-Cap: 1.262B. Optionable.

Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (RYTM: Healthcare/Biotechnology) - SQUEEZE PLAY. Thursday's narrow price range has created a potentially profitable setup in RYTM, as sellers and buyers find themselves in a near tie for control of price direction. The next short-term trend could go either way, so prepare for a move out of the draw within the next day or so. Set a BUY entry at 26.73 and a SELL short entry at 25. Let RYTM's price action determine your long or short entry. Once the order is filled, place a 1.73 trailing stop, and tighten it to 0.87 upon getting a 2.88 gain. RYTM closed Thursday at 26.01. Earnings Report Date: Nov 06, 2023. Beta: 1.69. Market-Cap: 1.533B. Optionable.

TECHNOLOGY SECTOR

Canadian Solar Inc. (CSIQ: Technology/Solar) - BEARISH U-TURN. The weight of CSIQ's declining weekly trend was lightened recently when shares began to move upward. However, like a swimmer against the tide CSIQ encountered strong resistance on Thursday. Price action indicates a likely return to the previous downtrend, so plan to short CSIQ upon reaching our SELL trigger at 27.14. Set a 1.96 trailing stop which can be tightened to 0.98 after you have a 1.86 gain. CSIQ ended the latest session at 28.01. Earnings Report Date: N/A. Beta: 1.37. Market-Cap: 1.811B. Optionable.


IMPORTANT: Before entering any recommended positions, always use the RightLine "Risk Control System" to determine the level of acceptable risk and the maximum number of shares to buy.
Link: https://prorightline.com/index.php/rightline-risk-control-system/

Use "Gap Adjusted Entries" to reset the Entry Price for stocks that gap beyond recommended entry levels.
Link: https://prorightline.com/index.php/gap-adjusted-entries-increase-profits/

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                           STOCK SPLIT SUMMARY
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Below are the stocks that have announced splits and have recently executed or will execute soon. There is generally a return to normal price behavior in the weeks following a split announcement in what we call a "Dormancy Phase." As the stock nears its split execution date it often moves into the "Pre-Split Run" stage where quick and sometimes dramatic gains can occur.
                             Announce     Eff.       Split
Company Name     (Symbol)      Date       Date       Ratio   Options  
---------------- -------     --------    -------     ------  -------   

NOTE: The number of stock split announcments goes up during Bull markets, 
and goes down during Bear market cycles. There are currently no upcoming 
stock splits that meet RightLine's proprietary criteria for split ratio, 
trading volume and price action.  

For a closer look at the different stages of a Stock Split go to: https://prorightline.com/index.php/trading-stock-splits-stages/
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Best of luck and have a Great Week!
 
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